Fai, Rising Rebellion

Fai, Rising Rebellion

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

50th 4-4-0
100%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.9
Surp
1.6
Diff
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jasper Hicks (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Trevor Rich (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Charles Siegismund III (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jacob Johnson (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Nuu, Alluring Desire
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Zachary Adams (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Bryan Sweeney (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 60:40
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jenan Wise (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Prism, Awakener of Sol
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Patrick Weiss (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
78th 3-5-0
88%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
4.2
Surp
2.0
Diff
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jacob Lantz (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Levia, Shadowborn Abomination
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ian Fraser (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Kano, Dracai of Aether
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs zion moore (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Will Reinhardt (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
!!
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Zena Breeland (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
Dash I/O
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Sean Baker (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Prism, Awakener of Sol
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Kevin Murphy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Zen, Tamer of Purpose
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Brenden Jones (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.