FaB-Results

Fai, Rising Rebellion at SAT 0900 Battle Hardened (CC) - SCG CON Charlotte

Fai, Rising Rebellion

Fai, Rising Rebellion

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Geoff Walter
50th • 4-4-0
62%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.6
Diff
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jasper Hicks (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Trevor Rich (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Charles Siegismund III (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 49:51
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jacob Johnson (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 49:51
Nuu, Alluring Desire
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Zachary Adams (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 20:80
Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Bryan Sweeney (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 60:40
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jenan Wise (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 39:61
Prism, Awakener of Sol
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Patrick Weiss (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 29:71
Ashlyn Slattery
78th • 3-5-0
38%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.9
Surp
1.9
Diff
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jacob Lantz (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 44:56
Levia, Shadowborn Abomination
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ian Fraser (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 58:42
Kano, Dracai of Aether
!
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs zion moore (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Will Reinhardt (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 65:35
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
!
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Zena Breeland (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
Dash I/O
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Sean Baker (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63
Prism, Awakener of Sol
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Kevin Murphy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 29:71
Zen, Tamer of Purpose
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Brenden Jones (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.