Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
7 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
23rd • 6-2-0
38%
Meta
+2.4
Perf
3.8
Surp
3.9
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs David Andrews (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 39:61
Round 2: Win vs Danny Mercer (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Seth Clark (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 28:72
Round 4: Win vs Zac Bailey (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Eris Schmidt (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Stephen Higgs (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 70:30
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Cody Blackmore (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 71:29
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Chase Effler (Dash I/O) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 25% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 25% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
35th • 5-3-0
50%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
2.7
Surp
2.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nathan Paciorek (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 28:72
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Rhea Adams (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 28:72
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Gabriel Beckett (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 62:38
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Thomas Johnson-Averette (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 76:24
80:20
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Dakota Cook (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 82:18
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Phillip Spader (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Zachary Adams (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 28:72
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 30% | Loss |
42nd • 5-3-0
62%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.0
Surp
2.2
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Mercy Bickell (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 27:73
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs NICOLE HEENAN (Unknown)
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Brandon King (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Billy Williams III (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 76:24
80:20
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs William Nuckolls (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 82:18
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Ben Hernandez (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 76:24
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Anthony Laflamme (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Phillip Spader (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Win |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R7 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
45th • 5-3-0
75%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.6
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Aaron Grace (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 24:76
85:15
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Marcus Queen (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 85:15
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Joe Bey (Unknown)
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Curtis-Lee Pauley (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 60:40
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Shawn Edwards (Unknown)
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Andrew Coppley (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 27:73
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Stephen Higgs (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 70:30
75:25
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Thomas Johnson-Averette (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 76:24
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 85% | Win |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 25% | Loss |
| R7 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
55th • 4-4-0
62%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Anthony Faciane (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 55:45
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Chris Abel (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 70:30
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nick Desmarais (Unknown)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Geoff Walter (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 51:49
Round 5: Win vs Perry Diamaduros (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Andrew Lorenz (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 27:73
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Curtis-Lee Pauley (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 60:40
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Brian Trail (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 25% | Loss |
| R7 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.6
Diff
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jae-Moon Hwang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 82:18
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Joe Bey (Unknown)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jacob Lantz (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 45:55
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Thomas Johnson-Averette (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 76:24
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Walter Snowden (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 39:61
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Derrick Azelton (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 27:73
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.1
Diff
85:15
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Marcus Queen (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 85:15
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs David Andrews (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 39:61
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Mercy Bickell (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 27:73
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Dustin Self (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 85% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.