Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry
8 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
1st • 9-2-0
82%
Meta
+2.5
Perf
4.7
Surp
3.6
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Yuanji Li (Unknown)
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Edwin Ahn (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 77:23
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Caden Stabler (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs David Andrews (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 61:39
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Nathanael Frautschy (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 76:24
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Raven Williams (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Taylor Crawford (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Round 8: Loss vs Connor Babcock (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Rose smyth (Dash I/O) - Expected: 52:48
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Paul Chen (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 61:39
70:30
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Connor Babcock (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 69:31
Meta Fit
82% (9/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.5 Wins (6.5 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
4.7 total deviation
Difficulty
3.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Loss |
| R9 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Win |
10th • 6-2-0
62%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
3.8
Surp
3.2
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Noah Zinn (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 76:24
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Greg Mitchell (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Brenden Jones (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jameson Hughes (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Andrew Lorenz (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Chase Effler (Dash I/O) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jacob Lantz (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Rose smyth (Dash I/O) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.0
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ryan Miller (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Caden Stabler (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Allison Oram (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 77:23
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Chase Effler (Dash I/O) - Expected: 52:48
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Terra Sinquefield (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Geoff Walter (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Alex Pennybacker (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-1
83%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.0
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Erik Dethlefs (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Bryan Sweeney (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Michael Feng (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Brandon King (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Draw vs Derrick Azelton (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Round 6: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Draw |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.7
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Dustin Self (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Paul Chen (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Timothy Scroggs (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 61:39
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Colin Swisher (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Zack Phillips (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Kevin Fontan (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.5
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Phillip Spader (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Cynthia Alonso (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 70:30
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs William Nuckolls (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 79:21
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Noah Biros (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
1.9
Surp
1.3
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Brenden Jones (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Trace Cooper (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 61:39
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Trent Lynch (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jason Watkins (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.8
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tori Lakey (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs John Houder (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 44:56
Round 3: Loss vs Paul Chen (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.