Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn

Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

84th 2-5-1
62%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
3.7
Surp
0.5
Diff
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Joseph Fisher (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Nuu, Alluring Desire
!
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Rhea Adams (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Nuu, Alluring Desire
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nathan Paciorek (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 38:62
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Rishabh Chari (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Bryan Sweeney (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Arakni, Marionette
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Draw vs Matthew Hyatt (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Eris Schmidt (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Aurora, Shooting Star
20:80
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Will Joseph (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 18:82
dropped 1-4-0
80%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.4
Diff
Aurora, Shooting Star
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Zack Phillips (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 18:82
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jack Faullin (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ben Hernandez (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Fai, Rising Rebellion
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ashlyn Slattery (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Kassai of the Golden Sand
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Abe Geidel (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.