FaB-Results
Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn

Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Terra Sinquefield
84th • 2-5-1
25%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
3.4
Surp
0.5
Diff
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Joseph Fisher (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 44:56
Nuu, Alluring Desire
!
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Rhea Adams (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Nuu, Alluring Desire
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nathan Paciorek (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 36:64
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Rishabh Chari (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50
Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Bryan Sweeney (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Arakni, Marionette
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Draw vs Matthew Hyatt (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Eris Schmidt (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
Aurora, Shooting Star
20:80
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Will Joseph (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 18:82
Will Reinhardt
dropped • 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.3
Diff
Aurora, Shooting Star
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Zack Phillips (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 18:82
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jack Faullin (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ben Hernandez (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
Fai, Rising Rebellion
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ashlyn Slattery (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 35:65
Kassai of the Golden Sand
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Abe Geidel (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 31:69

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.