Cindra, Dracai of Retribution at SAT 0900 Battle Hardened (CC) - SCG CON Charlotte
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
16 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
26th • 5-3-0
50%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
4.0
Surp
2.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jodey Burney (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Michael-Paul Johnson (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jason Watkins (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Walter Snowden (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Porter Jones (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Bryce Morgan (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 40:60
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Trenton Gutridge (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Trevor Rich (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Loss |
27th • 5-3-0
25%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
4.3
Surp
3.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Eris Schmidt (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 2: Win vs Andrew Lorenz (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tori Lakey (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Samuel Young (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 47:53
Round 5: Win vs Rhea Adams (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Round 6: Win vs Anthony Laflamme (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Porter Jones (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 40:60
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Jacob Lantz (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
25% (2/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
52nd • 4-4-0
75%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
4.2
Surp
1.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jonathan Bethea (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Evan Dasher (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kenny Thai (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 55:45
Round 4: Loss vs Ian Fraser (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Brandon King (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Gary Arreaga (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Patrick Ovaert (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Jarik Bowen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (4.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 70% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Loss |
| R8 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Loss |
68th • 4-4-0
62%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
4.1
Surp
2.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jason Watkins (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 2: Win vs David M. Smith (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Joshua Byers (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Shawn Edwards (Unknown)
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Bea Budnik (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 58:42
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Zena Breeland (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 40:60
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Terra Sinquefield (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 64:36
Round 8: Win vs Jade Day-Burdett (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Win |
76th • 3-5-0
50%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.1
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nathanael Frautschy (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 35:65
Round 2: Win vs Will Rea (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jade Day-Burdett (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 37:63
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Michelle Chalmers (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 70:30
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jasper Hicks (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Patrick Weiss (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Brandon Lundie (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 48:52
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Greg Mitchell (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
85th • 2-6-0
25%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
3.5
Surp
0.6
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Hunter Street (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 40:60
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs James Pridemore (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 35:65
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Carson Coker (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 48:52
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Bryan Nikla (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 35:65
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jade Day-Burdett (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 37:63
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Gabriel Beckett (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 56:44
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Brenden Jones (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 37:63
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Zac Bailey (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
25% (2/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
29%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.1
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Edwin Ahn (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jae-Moon Hwang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Stan Jarozewski (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Drew Clark (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Stephen Higgs (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Stephen Helmly (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 43:57
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Diana Green (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.4
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Christian Ybarra (Unknown)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Colin Smith (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 40:60
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Eric Capps (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 70:30
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Joseph Marchant (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 37:63
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Seneca Pressley (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Anthony Faciane (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
40%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
2.4
Surp
2.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Emanuel Corps-Ortiz (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 47:53
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nick Desmarais (Unknown)
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Anthony Faciane (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 38:62
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Mason Brantley (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 58:42
Round 5: Win vs Jae-Moon Hwang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (2.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
60%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Conrad Niebuhr (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Andrew Wilborn (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 54:46
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Trevor Rich (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 59:41
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Nathanael Frautschy (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 35:65
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Eric Wilson (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jonathan Gray (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 48:52
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Taylor Crawford (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 37:63
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jarik Bowen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Caden Stabler (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Phillip Spader (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.8
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Greg Mitchell (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 37:63
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Stephen Higgs (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Geoff Walter (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 51:49
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Eric Capps (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 70:30
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jordan Self (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
20%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.6
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Diana Green (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 35:65
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jacob Deibis (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 37:63
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Conrad Niebuhr (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Edwin Ahn (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Zac Bailey (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.8
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Gary Arreaga (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Zena Breeland (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Eric Wilson (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Paul Chen (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs NICOLE HEENAN (Unknown)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Brian Trail (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Eris Schmidt (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Zachary Knutson (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
0%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.9
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Rose smyth (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Cindrah Moore (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kyle McKeough (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
0% (0/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.