Fang, Dracai of Blades

Fang, Dracai of Blades

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

65th 4-4-0
50%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
4.0
Surp
2.4
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nick Desmarais (Unknown)
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jenan Wise (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 56:44
Prism, Awakener of Sol
!
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Perry Diamaduros (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Noah Zinn (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Gary Arreaga (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 55:45
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Joseph Fisher (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 44:56
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jacob Johnson (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 40:60
Jarl Vetreiði
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Paul Sauer (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 60:40
dropped 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.4
Diff
Aurora, Shooting Star
!
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Noah Biros (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Rishabh Chari (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 39:61
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Yuanji Li (Unknown)
Arakni, Marionette
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Erik Dethlefs (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.