Dash I/O at Calling: Kansas City 2026
Dash I/O
28 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
3rd • 11-3-0
79%
Meta
+3.5
Perf
6.5
Surp
5.6
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Darin Key (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 54:46
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Illuvial Arnett (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Aidan Ayers (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 55:45
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jason Watkins (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 68:32
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Austin Ford (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Pankaj Bhojwani (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Joshua Kehe (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Thomas Johnson-Averette (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 50:50
Round 10: Win vs Jeremy Pennington (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Yasunari Sakuma (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Bird Cabrera (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Illuvial Arnett (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
R14
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Matt Muus (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Meta Fit
79% (11/14 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.5 Wins (7.5 expected, 11 actual)
Surprise
6.5 total deviation
Difficulty
5.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Jarl Vetreiði | 25% | Win |
| R11 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R13 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R14 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Loss |
13th • 9-3-0
83%
Meta
+2.5
Perf
5.9
Surp
3.6
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Micky Jacks (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kaileb Shipman (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nate Kimbrel (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Joseph Scanlon (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 46:54
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Alexander Vore (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Brian Hoffman (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Noah Beygelman (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Yasunari Sakuma (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Andrew Rothermel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Illuvial Arnett (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
R11
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Brandon Robinson (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Tyler Zeringue (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
83% (10/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.5 Wins (6.5 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.9 total deviation
Difficulty
3.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R11 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
45th • 8-4-0
75%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
6.0
Surp
4.2
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Matthew Helphenstine (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ryan Wolfe (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Justin Evans (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
Round 4: Win vs William Garrison (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Round 5: Win vs Michael Moss (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jordan Brengartner (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Andrew Henderson (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Zachary Johnson (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Richard Moretti (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Dyllon Dietz (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
25:75
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Josh Lind (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 25:75
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Trent Nguyen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
75% (9/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.8 Wins (6.2 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
6.0 total deviation
Difficulty
4.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R9 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Jarl Vetreiði | 25% | Loss |
| R12 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
46th • 8-4-0
50%
Meta
+2.1
Perf
6.1
Surp
4.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nathaniel Lansangan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Khoi Nguyen (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 60:40
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Daylon Mack (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Elijah Marshall (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs David Bruner (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 45:55
Round 6: Win vs Marek Meyer (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Matthew Wehmer (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Tyler Zeringue (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Lauren Stobbe (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Zak Miller (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 39:61
Round 11: Win vs Jeremy Werner (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
70:30
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Lucas Oswald (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 68:32
Meta Fit
50% (6/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.1 Wins (5.9 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
6.1 total deviation
Difficulty
4.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Zyggy Starlight | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Zyggy Starlight | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R9 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R11 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R12 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 70% | Win |
68th • 7-5-0
75%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
6.0
Surp
2.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Fangshuo Cao (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
Round 2: Win vs Alexander Perekhov-Lef (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ryan Goldfinger (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Zack Martin (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Amy Hazel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Tyler Zeringue (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jamie Foster (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 38:62
Round 8: Loss vs Daniel Edwards (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Devin McAtee (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Jacob Sanders (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 38:62
Round 11: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
70:30
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Jason Watkins (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 68:32
Meta Fit
75% (9/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (6.4 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
6.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 70% | Loss |
| R9 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Arakni, Huntsman | 40% | Loss |
| R11 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 70% | Loss |
| R12 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 70% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.8
Surp
2.4
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Sheena Crawford (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Amber Pennington (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 36:64
Round 3: Win vs James Wray (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Chandler To (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Garrett Williams (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Ryan Ward (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Matthew Renz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.9
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Daniel Edwards (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 68:32
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Michael Cawvey (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 55:45
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tyler Zeringue (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
Round 4: Win vs Marc Hansen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Emery Powell (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 25:75
Round 6: Loss vs Shawn Travelstead (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jordan Vonderwell (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 70% | Loss |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jason Feng (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Michael Serrage (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Daniel Smith (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Brandon Robinson (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Liam Donnelly (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Dyllon Dietz (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs BRAD ALLRED (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Gabriel Duerkop (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 46:54
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Christopher Hoang (Oscilio, Forked Continuum) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Matt Reed (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Summer Giles (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 79:21
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Aidan Ayers (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 55:45
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jordan Vonderwell (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 58:42
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Marek Meyer (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Forked Continuum | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 80% | Win |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.8
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alexander Heger (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Lauren Stobbe (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kevin Ray (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 79:21
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Cody Nunn (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Round 5: Win vs Muhidin Grosonja (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Kai Sickler (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 53:47
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Austin Ford (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ryan Wallace (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs jeffrey nelson (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jacob Bader (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 39:61
Round 4: Win vs Michael Keeton (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
80:20
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Indie Hansen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 79:21
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Johnny Nguyen (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jacob Sanders (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Zyggy Starlight | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 25% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 80% | Win |
| R6 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Huntsman | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.0
Surp
2.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jarron Idleman (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Phillip Kendall (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 68:32
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Muhidin Grosonja (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 39:61
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Timothy Robinson (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Darin Key (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 54:46
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Clayton Dell (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Robbie McReynolds (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.9
Surp
0.9
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs BEN LADWIG (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Gil Beloate (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Marvin Swords (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 68:32
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Micheal Porter (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Illuvial Arnett (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Thomas Johnson-Averette (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 50:50
80:20
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Indie Hansen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 79:21
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 80% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.9
Surp
0.9
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Pankaj Bhojwani (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mason Taylor (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Logan King (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Steven Suh (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 39:61
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Minh Tran (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 58:42
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Devin Simms (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Martin Cox (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Zyggy Starlight | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Huntsman | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Damien Riggins (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kaleb Jarrett (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 38:62
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Trevor Galligan (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Syndi Beloate (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 55:45
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Andro Castro Zuniga (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 58:42
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Muhidin Grosonja (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 39:61
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Dan Mui (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Zyggy Starlight | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Olympia, Prized Fighter | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jeremy Kruman (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Dakota Meier (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Allen Towery (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Duncan Sinclair (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Matthew Greenleaf (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
Round 6: Loss vs Phillip Spader (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Perrin Franklin (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 70% | Loss |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
57%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
3.5
Surp
0.4
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Logan McNeely (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Max McLean (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Yasunari Sakuma (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Griffin Murray (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 36:64
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Richard Moore (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 25:75
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Christiano Cavallo (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
Round 7: Loss vs Ethan Phillips (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.6
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs William Nguyen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 58:42
Round 2: Win vs Patrick Morris (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Sternesky (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 50:50
Round 4: Win vs John Houder (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Round 5: Win vs Benjamin Fraser (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jordan Bogart (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.3
Surp
2.0
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tim Hickman (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 29:71
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jacob Bader (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 39:61
Round 3: Win vs Todd France (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Michael Dahm (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Trenton Mercer (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 25% | Win |
| R4 | Olympia, Prized Fighter | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Puffin, Hightail | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.1
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Brian Hoffman (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Blake Freeman (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs David Massey (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jack Sandau (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 38:62
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Thomas Day (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Travis Yeo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jesse Kennon (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jamie Foster (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 38:62
Round 4: Loss vs Marvin Swords (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs April May (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 70% | Loss |
| R5 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Trey Herring (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Justin Evans (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Joel Grizzelle (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 25:75
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Mike Headley (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 33:67
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Max McLean (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alan Chavarin (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Wesley Dong (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 39:61
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Leian Xu (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 45:55
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Max McLean (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kyle Carrington (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Olympia, Prized Fighter | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Austin Redington (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Fangshuo Cao (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Trip Hargrove (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 45:55
Round 4: Loss vs chris smith (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zyggy Starlight | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Zyggy Starlight | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.6
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Lauren Stobbe (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Doug Rothhaar (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Dakota Meier (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Andro Castro Zuniga (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.6
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Matt Muus (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kent Summerour (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 38:62
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Steve Halloran (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 60:40
Round 4: Loss vs Kevin Ray (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 79:21, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 80% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jacob Gladman (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Victor Nguyen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ender Hansen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 58:42
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Alexander Young (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 25:75
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Yuki Lee Bender (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ross Fontana (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 58:42
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Trenton Mercer (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.