Betsy, Skin in the Game at Calling: Kansas City 2026
Betsy, Skin in the Game
11 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
18th • 9-3-0
75%
Meta
+2.0
Perf
5.0
Surp
3.5
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Andrew Maggert (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 67:33
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Leian Xu (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jarron Idleman (Dash I/O) - Expected: 62:38
Round 4: Loss vs Noah Beygelman (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 77:23, favorite upset
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Joshua Maxson (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
80:20
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Emery Powell (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 82:18
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Micheal Porter (Dash I/O) - Expected: 62:38
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Illuvial Arnett (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 38:62
Round 9: Win vs Brian Hoffman (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Yuki Lee Bender (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 38:62
90:10
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Randall Robinson (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 90:10
R12
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Matthew Wehmer (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Meta Fit
75% (9/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.0 Wins (7.0 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 75% | Loss |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 80% | Win |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R11 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 90% | Win |
| R12 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
63rd • 7-5-0
50%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
5.2
Surp
3.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Aaron Franklin (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Michael Keeton (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 82:18
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Austin Ford (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 38:62
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs David Bruner (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 19:81
Round 5: Win vs Lily Reynoso (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Ender Hansen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 47:53
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jason Brannick (Dash I/O) - Expected: 62:38
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Samuel Van Winkle (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Round 9: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 38:62
R11
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Kai Sickler (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Brandon Hartman (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
50% (6/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (5.8 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.2 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 80% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Zyggy Starlight | 20% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Loss |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R11 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 5-2-0
57%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
2.5
Surp
2.4
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ethan Alexander (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Raea Mitchell (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 38:62
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ian Carrico (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 67:33
10:90
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Robbie McReynolds (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 10:90
Round 5: Win vs Kathryn Aulabaugh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Gary Bull (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
90:10
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Shawn Travelstead (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 90:10
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 10% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 90% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.6
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ryan Dunbar (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 77:23
20:80
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Thomas Bray (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 19:81
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Duncan Sinclair (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Round 4: Win vs BEN LADWIG (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
90:10
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Chandler Bushnell (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 90:10
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Tader Kammeyer (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Ian Carrico (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 67:33
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Zyggy Starlight | 20% | Loss |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 90% | Win |
| R6 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-1
57%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
3.0
Surp
0.8
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Austin "Ozz" Barta (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Codi Barnett (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 77:23
90:10
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Craig Krempels (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 90:10
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Nathaniel Lansangan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jose Badillo (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 39:61
20:80
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Logan King (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 19:81
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Ethan Gill (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Olympia, Prized Fighter | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 75% | Draw |
| R3 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 90% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Zyggy Starlight | 20% | Loss |
| R7 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
29%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ender Hansen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 47:53
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jacen Whitlock (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 82:18
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs jeffrey nelson (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 19:81
90:10
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Nathan Crawford (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 90:10
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Trent Nguyen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jonah Overholt (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 80% | Win |
| R3 | Zyggy Starlight | 20% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 90% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-1
14%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.9
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jacob Dastas (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 25:75
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Ferrara (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 25:75
Round 3: Win vs Tho Bui (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Matthew Renz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 38:62
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jeremy Stockfleth (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 77:23
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Draw vs David Roger Jr. (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Tyler Sorensen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
14% (1/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Draw |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
17%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.7
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Justin Evans (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 38:62
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Trevor Gullach (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
Round 3: Win vs Ty Hicks (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Leian Xu (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Shawn Walker (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Bryce Stroyek (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
17% (1/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-1
60%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.6
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Thomas Johnson-Averette (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 77:23
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Andrew Maggert (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 67:33
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Gabriel Duerkop (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 67:33
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ryan Goldfinger (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 38:62
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 25:75
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 75% | Draw |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.5
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Sabastian Chizhik (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alex Pagnani (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Cody Nunn (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Round 4: Loss vs Zachary Hudelson (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 77:23, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Pleiades, Superstar | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 75% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
33%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
0.8
Surp
1.0
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 25:75
10:90
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Trent Williams (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 10:90
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kyle Carrington (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (0.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
0.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 10% | Loss |
| R3 | Olympia, Prized Fighter | 50% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.