Vynnset, Iron Maiden at Calling: Kansas City 2026
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
20 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
19th • 9-3-0
50%
Meta
+3.9
Perf
6.5
Surp
6.6
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Daniel Warner (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Talon Bradshaw (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs David Roger Jr. (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Randy Davis (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 25:75
Round 5: Win vs Raine Karan (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
Round 6: Win vs Shawn Walker (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Evan Herndon (Dash I/O) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Arjun Garg (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
Round 9: Win vs BRAD ALLRED (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
R10
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Brandon Robinson (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Round 11: Win vs Trent Nguyen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
Round 12: Win vs Peter Buddensiek (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
Meta Fit
50% (6/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.9 Wins (5.1 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
6.5 total deviation
Difficulty
6.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Olympia, Prized Fighter | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R9 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 35% | Win |
| R10 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Win |
| R12 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Win |
79th • 6-6-0
67%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
5.6
Surp
2.7
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Phillip Millwee (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 32:68
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kevin Murphy (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
Round 3: Win vs Donovan Mitchell (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Steve Halloran (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 50:50
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Alex Gieder (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Maddux Warren (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Muhidin Grosonja (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Evan Herndon (Dash I/O) - Expected: 54:46
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Andrew Lorenz (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Patrick Tetrick (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 67:33
35:65
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Brandon Hartman (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 33:67
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Patrick Terpstra (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (5.6 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
5.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
| R9 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Win |
| R11 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R12 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.2
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Chad Heuschober (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 67:33
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Cody Nunn (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Sebastiano Cavallo (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Emanuel Corps-Ortiz (Dash I/O) - Expected: 54:46
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Matt Garner (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Round 6: Win vs Raine Karan (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
Round 7: Loss vs Caleb Wangler (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.0
Surp
2.3
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jacen Whitlock (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 32:68
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Cole Matney (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kameron Bartels (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Austin Redington (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 45:55
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jonah Overholt (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 33:67
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Summer Giles (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Gregory Smith (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Zyggy Starlight | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.1
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Todd France (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Sebastiano Cavallo (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kyle McKeough (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Muhidin Grosonja (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Cody Nunn (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Marvin Swords (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jamie Seaborn (Dash I/O) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.8
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Timothy Robinson (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Perrin Franklin (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Joseph Scanlon (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Adrian Gebhart (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Austin Redington (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 45:55
20:80
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Lauren Stobbe (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 20:80
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Zyggy Starlight | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 20% | Loss |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
14%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.1
Surp
3.4
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jamie Foster (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 33:67
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Randall Sims (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 33:67
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Joshua Kelly (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Richard Moore (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 32:68
Round 5: Win vs Dantes Ha (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 20:80, underdog victory
Round 6: Win vs Brandon Wolfe (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
20:80
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Brett Shirley (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 20:80
Meta Fit
14% (1/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (2.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 20% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
14%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
2.8
Surp
2.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Blake Freeman (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Randy Davis (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 25:75
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Caleb Hall (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 33:67
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Clayton Dell (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 20:80
Round 5: Win vs Michael Phillips (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Steven O'Reilly (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 45:55
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Kenneth Lyle (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
14% (1/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 20% | Loss |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Win |
| R6 | Zyggy Starlight | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 0-7-0
57%
Meta
-3.2
Perf
3.2
Surp
0.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Michael Shen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 55:45
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jordan Bogart (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 33:67
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Cody Blackmore (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Nick Reznick (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 42:58
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs John Bracken (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Round 6: Loss vs DANIEL WILLIAMS (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
25:75
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Andy Tran (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 25:75
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-3.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-1
50%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.8
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Craig Krempels (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Harrison Pruitt (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 38:62
Round 3: Loss vs Mason Taylor (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs David Otte (Oscilio, Forked Continuum) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Round 5: Win vs Ross Fontana (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 20:80, underdog victory
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Robert Cutler (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 40% | Draw |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Forked Continuum | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 20% | Win |
| R6 | Zyggy Starlight | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
33%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.1
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Anthony Camacho (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jason Watkins (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Camden Keener (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Yasunari Sakuma (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 33:67
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Lauren Stobbe (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 20:80
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs David Bruner (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (2.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 20% | Loss |
| R6 | Zyggy Starlight | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.0
Surp
2.6
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Billal Mahmoud (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 25:75
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Shawn Travelstead (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Aidan Volden (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 44:56
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alan Chavarin (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Round 5: Win vs Jacen Whitlock (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Joshua Kehe (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Win |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
33%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.5
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Katie Bulgherini (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 42:58
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alex Tyler (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Austin Henson (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 20:80
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Matt Garner (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jacob Sanders (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Michael Moss (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 20% | Loss |
| R4 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Huntsman | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.6
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kent Summerour (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Grant Rockefeller (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Brian Hoffman (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 33:67
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Michael Feng (Dash I/O) - Expected: 54:46
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Justin Anthony (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.9
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Matt Garner (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Trevor Galligan (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Mike Headley (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 38:62
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Michael Cawvey (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 67:33
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Aron Zeller (Dash I/O) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Zyggy Starlight | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Josh Bibb (Dash I/O) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jeremy Kruman (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Randall Sims (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 33:67
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ryan Dunbar (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 25:75
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.5
Diff
Round 1: Win vs EVAN SERRAGE (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Trace Winborn (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Brandon Stolzer (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 32:68
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Billal Mahmoud (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 25:75
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 25% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jason Dutch (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 45:55
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Brian Hoffman (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 33:67
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Yuki Lee Bender (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 33:67
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Dylan Deitz (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zyggy Starlight | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Steven O'Reilly (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 45:55
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ethan Phillips (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Stew Fraser (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zyggy Starlight | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
100%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ian Carrico (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dustin Patton (Dash I/O) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
100% (2/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.