Olympia, Prized Fighter at Calling: Kansas City 2026
Olympia, Prized Fighter
9 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Randy Davis (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 58:42
Round 2: Win vs Donovan Mitchell (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Michael Cawvey (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Gabriel Beckett (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Marc Hansen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Mike Headley (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Round 7: Win vs Ryan Goldfinger (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Wesley Dong (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Tim Hickman (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
25:75
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Landon Lord (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 25:75
R11
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Patrick Tetrick (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Noah Beygelman (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
75% (9/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (5.7 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
6.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R11 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 60% | Win |
dropped • 4-2-1
86%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.6
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Luke Manship (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 25:75
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Thomas Johnson-Averette (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs EVAN SERRAGE (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 58:42
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Stew Fraser (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Cody Blackmore (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Richard Moretti (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jameon Delp (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Draw |
| R2 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-2-1
57%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.1
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs David Massey (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Matthew McInnis (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ryan Dunbar (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 58:42
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Draw vs Mike Murray (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Logan Reinert (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Ethan Gill (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Trent Nguyen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Draw |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
100%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Logan King (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Andy truong (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Ferrara (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Benjamin Fraser (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Nick Reznick (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Andy Tran (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 58:42
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Christopher Shehan (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zyggy Starlight | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
2.8
Surp
3.4
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Austin Ford (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 40:60
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Eric Brandon (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 25:75
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Colton Branch (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jack Jarvis (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 58:42
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Nolan Pitts (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Round 6: Win vs Victor Nguyen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Win |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.8
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Zachary Henneous (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 58:42
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Michael Serrage (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jonah Overholt (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.8
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kevin Ray (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Minh Tran (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 25:75
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Shawn Adams (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Charlie Heavilin (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Leian Xu (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jesse Jones (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Victor Nguyen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 25:75
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs David Dandikar (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nick Webb (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Mitchell Gullach (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.