Zyggy Starlight at Calling: Kansas City 2026
Zyggy Starlight
12 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
22nd • 9-3-0
58%
Meta
+3.4
Perf
5.8
Surp
5.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Carter Sissell (Dash I/O) - Expected: 55:45
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Austin Miles (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 29:71
Round 3: Win vs Isaac Hollermann (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Keenan Humphrey (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Sebastiano Cavallo (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 55:45
Round 6: Win vs Rex Carroll (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Grant Rockefeller (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 65:35
Round 8: Win vs Zak Miller (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
35:65
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Austin Henson (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Max McLean (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 55:45
65:35
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Arjun Garg (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 65:35
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Justin Evans (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.4 Wins (5.6 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.8 total deviation
Difficulty
5.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Win |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R11 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
64th • 7-5-0
67%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
5.6
Surp
3.5
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Brandon Robinson (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Zachary Johnson (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 55:45
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Joshua Maxson (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 20:80
Round 4: Win vs Matthew Helphenstine (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Round 5: Win vs Geoffrey Hunt (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Matt Yee (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Logan King (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Devin Simms (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
80:20
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Joel Grizzelle (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 81:19
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Andrew Lorenz (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 36:64
R11
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Chandler To (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Matthew Renz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (5.7 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.6 total deviation
Difficulty
3.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 20% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Win |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Zyggy Starlight | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Jarl Vetreiði | 80% | Win |
| R10 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 35% | Loss |
| R11 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 5-4-0
89%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.9
Surp
1.4
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Matthew Greenleaf (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 65:35
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Sean Baker (Dash I/O) - Expected: 55:45
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Luke Shinn (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 81:19
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Zak Miller (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 29:71
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Patrick Terpstra (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 55:45
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Darin Key (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Kyle McKeough (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 69:31
Round 8: Loss vs Joshua Lau (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Max McLean (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
89% (8/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (5.3 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Loss |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.6
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Bryce Harrelson (Unknown)
Round 2: Win vs Kathryn Aulabaugh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs William Bradshaw (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 33:67
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs BRAD ALLRED (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 81:19
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Michael Feng (Dash I/O) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Eric Dundas (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 55:45
Round 7: Loss vs Dylan Deitz (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Win |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 80% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.9
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Adam Hine (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alexander Young (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 81:19
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Chris Dewey (Dash I/O) - Expected: 55:45
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Austin Henson (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Marek Meyer (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 29:71
80:20
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs David Dandikar (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 81:19
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Robert Cutler (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Olympia, Prized Fighter | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 80% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 80% | Win |
| R7 | Zyggy Starlight | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.4
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Oscar Zoltowski (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kenneth Lyle (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 81:19
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Lucas Barding (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Round 4: Win vs Indie Hansen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jeremy Werner (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 29:71
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Max McLean (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 55:45
Round 7: Loss vs Derrick Schwarz (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 80% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-1
43%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Cameron Courtenay (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 55:45
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Zack Phillips (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 36:64
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Martin Cox (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Draw vs William Marshall (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63
Round 5: Win vs Jeremy Constance (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Ian Carrico (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Brandon Wolfe (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Draw |
| R5 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.1
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Cody Gibson (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Round 2: Win vs Joshua Maxson (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 20:80, underdog victory
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Matthew Wehmer (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Micaiah Wooten (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 29:71
Round 5: Loss vs Grant Rockefeller (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 20% | Win |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.2
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Dakota Jones (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 33:67
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Garrett Williams (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jameon Delp (Dash I/O) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs David Nguyen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 55:45
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ray Shell (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 69:31
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.3
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jason Watkins (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 36:64
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Isaac Brown (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 65:35
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Michael Feng (Dash I/O) - Expected: 55:45
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kathryn Aulabaugh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 25:75
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.7
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jonathan Vu (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 55:45
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs None (Unknown)
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Caleb Wangler (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Benjamin Fraser (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs William Marshall (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 37:63
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Carter Sissell (Dash I/O) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.