Arakni, Marionette at Calling: Kansas City 2026
Arakni, Marionette
31 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 10-3-0
69%
Meta
+2.5
Perf
5.5
Surp
4.2
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kameron Bartels (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Marek Meyer (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Matt Muus (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 65:35
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tyler Zeringue (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 44:56
85:15
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Gary Bull (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 86:14
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jonathan Magnuson (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Bird Cabrera (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Gabriel Beckett (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Nicholas Porter (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Andrew Wilborn (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Randy Davis (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 49:51
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Illuvial Arnett (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Alexander Young (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
69% (9/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.5 Wins (7.5 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
5.5 total deviation
Difficulty
4.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 85% | Win |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R13 | Jarl Vetreiði | 60% | Loss |
47th • 8-4-0
75%
Meta
+2.1
Perf
5.4
Surp
4.3
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Chad Garr (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 68:32
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kevin Ray (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Matthew McInnis (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs William Bradshaw (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 48:52
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Micaiah Wooten (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jason Brannick (Dash I/O) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Arjun Garg (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Dylan Deitz (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
20:80
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Brandon Robinson (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 20:80
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Edwin Ordonez (Dash I/O) - Expected: 49:51
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Max McLean (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 44:56
Round 12: Win vs Nicholas Wolverton (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Meta Fit
75% (9/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.1 Wins (5.9 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.4 total deviation
Difficulty
4.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 20% | Loss |
| R10 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 40% | Win |
50th • 8-4-0
67%
Meta
+2.3
Perf
5.3
Surp
4.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jason Brannick (Dash I/O) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nathaniel Lansangan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Austin Miles (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Aidan Ayers (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Randall Robinson (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Noah Beygelman (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Ethan Beam (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 49:51
20:80
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Matthew Wehmer (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 20:80
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Austin Ford (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 44:56
70:30
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Richard Moretti (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 68:32
Round 11: Win vs Jason Watkins (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Derrick Schwarz (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.3 Wins (5.7 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.3 total deviation
Difficulty
4.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 20% | Loss |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Win |
| R11 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 40% | Win |
| R12 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 50% | Win |
53rd • 7-5-0
58%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
5.4
Surp
2.2
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Nicholas Wolverton (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tyler Pfaffenback (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 48:52
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Marc Hansen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Zachary Johnson (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 44:56
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Dagan White (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Tyler Brotton (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 73:27
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Dyllon Dietz (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Yasunari Sakuma (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Joshua Lau (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 56:44
35:65
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Austin Redington (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 35:65
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Gabriel Beckett (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (6.3 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 75% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
| R11 | Zyggy Starlight | 35% | Loss |
| R12 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Loss |
78th • 6-6-0
58%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
5.9
Surp
3.1
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nicholas Porter (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alexander Schumacher (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Aaron Franklin (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jonathan Vu (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Aiden Coakley (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Joshua Maxson (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 55:45
Round 7: Win vs David Bruner (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Dyllon Dietz (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs None (Unknown)
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Trent Nguyen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Nicholas Wolverton (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Aidan Ayers (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (5.6 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
5.9 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Zyggy Starlight | 35% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R11 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 40% | Loss |
| R12 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-2-1
86%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Micheal Porter (Dash I/O) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Carter Sissell (Dash I/O) - Expected: 49:51
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Devin Simms (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 75:25
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Draw vs Nathaniel Brower (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Brandon Wolfe (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Noah Fogle (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Logan Petersen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 50% | Draw |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Andro Castro Zuniga (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Trent Nguyen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Brandon Wolfe (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jacen Whitlock (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 60:40
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ethan Gill (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Edwin Ordonez (Dash I/O) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jesse Kennon (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tho Bui (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 44:56
Round 3: Loss vs Chandler To (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
85:15
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alexander Heger (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 86:14
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tyler Sorensen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
85:15
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Daniel Smith (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 86:14
Round 7: Loss vs Richard Moretti (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 85% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 85% | Win |
| R7 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.2
Surp
3.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kaileb Shipman (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Chandler Bushnell (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 40:60
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Aidan Davis (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs John Bracken (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ryan Wolfe (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Minh Tran (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Richard Moore (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Jarl Vetreiði | 60% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kevin Murphy (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Elijah Marshall (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 45:55
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Christopher Fernandez (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 60:40
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jose Badillo (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
Round 5: Win vs Ezekiel Morrison (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Camden Keener (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Austin Redington (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Zyggy Starlight | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Zyggy Starlight | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jamie Seaborn (Dash I/O) - Expected: 49:51
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Gabriel Duerkop (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Bryce Stroyek (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Andrew Lorenz (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 40:60
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Devin McAtee (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Justin Anthony (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 40:60
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Mike Murray (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 65:35
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 65% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.0
Surp
2.4
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Christopher Shehan (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 71:29
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Riley Thomas (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Dyllon Dietz (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Martin Cox (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Christiano Cavallo (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 44:56
20:80
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Samuel Van Winkle (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 20:80
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Naib Mobassir (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Olympia, Prized Fighter | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 20% | Loss |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Joshua Maxson (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 55:45
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Edwin Ahn (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Zachary Hudelson (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ethan Beam (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 49:51
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Emmy Chenard (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 44:56
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Austin Miles (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jason Watkins (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Pleiades, Superstar | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.5
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs jeffrey nelson (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 35:65
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Katie Bulgherini (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 43:57
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs William Garrison (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31
Round 4: Loss vs Kai Sickler (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jamie Seaborn (Dash I/O) - Expected: 49:51
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Josef Mendez (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Lily Reynoso (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zyggy Starlight | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 70% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
dropped • 2-4-1
71%
Meta
-1.9
Perf
3.5
Surp
0.3
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Durwood Moore (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Trent Willman (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 68:32
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 45:55
Round 4: Loss vs Gary Bull (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 86:14, favorite upset
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Shawn Travelstead (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 40:60
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Draw vs Witt Lucas (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Andro Castro Zuniga (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 85% | Loss |
| R5 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 55% | Draw |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Michael Gohl (Dash I/O) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Zak Cargin (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
Round 3: Loss vs Tyler Brotton (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Nathaniel Lansangan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Austin Ford (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 75% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.0
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Daniel White (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Emmy Chenard (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Emanuel Corps-Ortiz (Dash I/O) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Landon Lord (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Christopher Shehan (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 71:29
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Daniel Edwards (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.5
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Thomas Day (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 55:45
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Cody Reed (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 68:32
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jesse Jones (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ethan Gill (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kevin Murphy (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Aron Zeller (Dash I/O) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
100% (6/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.8
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Khoi Nguyen (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 68:32
Round 2: Loss vs Lucas Barding (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jordan Bogart (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Patrick Terpstra (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Dylan Deitz (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 75% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.2
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Andrew Lorenz (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Dylan Deitz (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Zak Cargin (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs John Milner (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Grant Rockefeller (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Joshua Kehe (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Pankaj Bhojwani (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tyler Pfaffenback (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ryan Ward (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Andy truong (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 48:52
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Micheal Thompson (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Noah Beygelman (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jack Sweeney (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Riley Thomas (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Olympia, Prized Fighter | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.9
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Wesley Dong (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Aidan Davis (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Michael Moss (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 43:57
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs James Wray (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Samuel Van Winkle (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 20:80
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Michael Feng (Dash I/O) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jason Feng (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Codi Barnett (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs David Dandikar (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jacob Gladman (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Devin McAtee (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jack Jarvis (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 49:51
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Phillip Millwee (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 60:40
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Katherine Merwin (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-1
40%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.3
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Rex Carroll (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 40:60
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Daylon Mack (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 35:65
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Chad Garr (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 68:32
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Draw vs Ray Shell (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Matthew Helphenstine (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Zyggy Starlight | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Draw |
| R5 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
80%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.4
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Logan Petersen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ashton Dorsey (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ryan Ward (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ross Fontana (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Josef Mendez (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Olympia, Prized Fighter | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 0-5-0
100%
Meta
-2.6
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Michael Cawvey (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Bailey Kehret (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Andro Castro Zuniga (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Michael Phillips (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Andy Tran (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.1
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Stephanie Hine (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 68:32
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 45:55
Round 3: Loss vs Kai Sickler (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Brett Shirley (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kai Pickett (Dash I/O) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Joshua Fritz (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 57:43
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Patrick Morris (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 68:32
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Darin Key (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Sean Baker (Dash I/O) - Expected: 49:51
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nicholas Wolverton (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Phillip Kendall (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.