Valda, Seismic Impact

Valda, Seismic Impact

13 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

dropped 4-2-1
71%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.9
Surp
2.7
Diff
Aurora, Legacy of Tempest
!!
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Shawn Travelstead (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 20:80, underdog victory
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Matt Yee (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38
Fang, Dracai of Blades
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Grant Emery (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Conley Hunt (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Kassai of the Golden Sand
!!
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kameron Bartels (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
Riptide, Lurker of the Deep
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Brandon Robinson (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
80:20
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Katherine Merwin (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 78:22
dropped 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.0
Diff
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
!!
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Brandon Wolfe (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
Aurora, Legacy of Tempest
20:80
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Phillip Spader (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 20:80
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Garrett Williams (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38
Dash I/O
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kai Pickett (Dash I/O) - Expected: 67:33
Jarl Vetreiði
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Josh Lind (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64
Olympia, Prized Fighter
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Ryan Rich (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
dropped 1-5-0
33%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.2
Diff
Aurora, Legacy of Tempest
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Isaac Chall (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 20:80
Arakni, Marionette
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ryan Ward (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 32:68
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Luke Manship (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Joshua Kelly (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 78:22
Arakni, Huntsman
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kent Summerour (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 40:60
Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs John Bracken (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
dropped 2-3-0
40%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.0
Diff
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
!!
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Aidan Davis (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Landon Lord (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
Dorinthea Ironsong
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ray Shell (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 29:71
Fang, Dracai of Blades
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Richard Moretti (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
dropped 0-5-0
0%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
Kassai of the Golden Sand
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Geoffrey Hunt (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 24:76
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Raine Karan (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 29:71
Aurora, Legacy of Tempest
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Chuck Ford (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 20:80
Arakni, Huntsman
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Katie Bulgherini (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 40:60
Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jack Jarvis (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 23:77
dropped 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.6
Diff
Dash I/O
!
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Aron Zeller (Dash I/O) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Mike Murray (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow
!!
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jack Jarvis (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 23:77, underdog victory
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
!!
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Lily Reynoso (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 78:22, favorite upset
dropped 0-4-0
25%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
Arakni, Marionette
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Talon Bradshaw (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 32:68
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Josef Mendez (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 29:71
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jordan Vonderwell (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
Kayo, Underhanded Cheat
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Shawn Adams (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
dropped 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.0
Diff
Dorinthea Ironsong
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Joshua Lau (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Puffin, Hightail
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Gabriel Beckett (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 45:55
Aurora, Legacy of Tempest
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Justin Anthony (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 20:80
dropped 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
Dash I/O
!
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Emanuel Corps-Ortiz (Dash I/O) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Puffin, Hightail
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ben Snyder (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 45:55
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs BEN LADWIG (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 29:71
dropped 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.0
Diff
Jarl Vetreiði
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Michael Keeton (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64
Dash I/O
!
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nicholas Geldrich (Dash I/O) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Arakni, Marionette
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Trey Herring (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 32:68
dropped 0-2-0
0%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
0.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
Kassai of the Golden Sand
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jeremy Werner (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 24:76
Kassai of the Golden Sand
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs William Garrison (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 24:76
dropped 0-2-0
100%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.0
Diff
Dash I/O
!
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Carlos Romero (Dash I/O) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Fai, Rising Rebellion
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Duncan Sinclair (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
dropped 0-1-0
100%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
0.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
Betsy, Skin in the Game
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Caleb Hall (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.