Dorinthea Ironsong at Calling: Kansas City 2026
Dorinthea Ironsong
7 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
15th • 9-3-0
67%
Meta
+3.5
Perf
6.1
Surp
5.1
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Buster Sexton (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Christopher Fernandez (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Brandon Hartman (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Liam Donnelly (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Sabastian Chizhik (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Randy Davis (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 30:70
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
Round 8: Win vs jeffrey nelson (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Zachary Johnson (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Arjun Garg (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
R11
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Lauren Stobbe (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Nicholas Porter (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.5 Wins (5.5 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
6.1 total deviation
Difficulty
5.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Zyggy Starlight | 30% | Win |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
69th • 7-5-0
83%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
5.8
Surp
4.5
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Charlie Heavilin (Dash I/O) - Expected: 71:29
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Conley Hunt (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Katherine Merwin (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Josh Leier (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Zachary Johnson (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Andrew Wilborn (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 30:70
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Trenton Gutridge (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Brandon Hartman (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Ryan Rich (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R10
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Daniel Edwards (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Matthew Renz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
Round 12: Win vs Jeremy Werner (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 18:82, underdog victory
Meta Fit
83% (10/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (5.8 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.8 total deviation
Difficulty
4.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Olympia, Prized Fighter | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 20% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Bird Cabrera (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Chuck Ford (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Perrin Franklin (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 33:67
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ethan Phillips (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Mike Murray (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Raea Mitchell (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs jeffrey nelson (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Zyggy Starlight | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-2
57%
Meta
-2.0
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Brandon Hartman (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Summer Giles (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs chris smith (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Draw vs Charles Poe (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 18:82
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Aaron Franklin (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Round 6: Win vs Dane Dickson (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Draw vs Michael Phillips (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 20% | Draw |
| R5 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Jarl Vetreiði | 45% | Draw |
dropped • 2-4-0
50%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.3
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Phillip Kendall (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Round 2: Loss vs Micheal Porter (Dash I/O) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Zak Cargin (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 79:21
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Marek Meyer (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 18:82
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Brandon Stolzer (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 43:57
20:80
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Benjamin Fraser (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 20:80
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 70% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 20% | Loss |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Huntsman | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-1
40%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.1
Diff
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Minh Tran (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 79:21
20:80
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Camden Keener (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 18:82
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Shimon Dasgupta (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Draw vs Isaac Brown (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Trevor Galligan (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 20% | Loss |
| R3 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Draw |
| R5 | Zyggy Starlight | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 0-1-0
0%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
0.3
Surp
0.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Joseph Scanlon (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
0% (0/1 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (0.3 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.