Katsu, the Wanderer

Katsu, the Wanderer

5 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

37th 8-4-0
58%
Meta
+2.6
Perf
5.8
Surp
4.9
Diff
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Donovan Mitchell (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 58:42
Dash I/O
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Aron Zeller (Dash I/O) - Expected: 64:36
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Amy Hazel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Shawn Walker (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 58:42
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kevin Ray (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
Kassai of the Golden Sand
!
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Christopher Iaali (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
Puffin, Hightail
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Trenton Mercer (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Jarl Vetreiði
20:80
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Josh Lind (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 22:78
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Jose Badillo (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
Aurora, Legacy of Tempest
R10
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Jason Watkins (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Aurora, Legacy of Tempest
R11
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Zack Phillips (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Kassai of the Golden Sand
30:70
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Marek Meyer (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 31:69
dropped 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.4
Diff
Betsy, Skin in the Game
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Neal Blooflat (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Shawn Walker (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 58:42
Riptide, Lurker of the Deep
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Matt Garner (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Katsu, the Wanderer
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tyler Brotton (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Dorinthea Ironsong
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Joshua Lau (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Austin Henson (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jose Badillo (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
dropped 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.7
Diff
Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Andrew Wilborn (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Michael Hamilton (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 58:42
Arakni, Marionette
!!
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jacob Gladman (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
Katsu, the Wanderer
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Sabastian Chizhik (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ryan Goldfinger (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 58:42
Arakni, Marionette
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Arjun Garg (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 27:73
Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Devin McAtee (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
dropped 3-4-0
100%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.1
Diff
Arakni, Huntsman
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jacob Sanders (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Aurora, Legacy of Tempest
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Daniel White (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Joshua Campbell (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Dash I/O
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Carlos Romero (Dash I/O) - Expected: 64:36
Aurora, Legacy of Tempest
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Nicholas Wolverton (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Puffin, Hightail
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Trenton Mercer (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Arakni, Huntsman
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Benjamin Fraser (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
dropped 2-4-0
67%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.8
Surp
0.8
Diff
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Indie Hansen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
Fang, Dracai of Blades
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Chad Garr (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alan Chavarin (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Gregory Smith (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
Riptide, Lurker of the Deep
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Brandon Robinson (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Mike Murray (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.