Kassai of the Golden Sand

Kassai of the Golden Sand

28 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

11th 9-3-0
50%
Meta
+3.9
Perf
5.5
Surp
5.4
Diff
Arakni, Huntsman
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jack Sandau (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 50:50
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
!!
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Peter Buddensiek (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Trent Nguyen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 25:75
Kassai of the Golden Sand
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jacob Bader (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Landon Lord (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 55:45
Arakni, Marionette
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 31:69
Aurora, Legacy of Tempest
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Marvin Swords (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 71:29
Arakni, Huntsman
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Jacob Sanders (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 50:50
Marlynn, Treasure Hunter
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Chandler To (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 60:40
Fai, Rising Rebellion
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs William Bradshaw (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 45:55
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
!!
25:75
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Tyler Zeringue (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
25:75
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Yuki Lee Bender (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 25:75
24th 9-3-0
83%
Meta
+2.0
Perf
4.3
Surp
3.0
Diff
Kassai of the Golden Sand
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Daniel Ferrara (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Arakni, Marionette
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 31:69
Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Thomas Johnson-Averette (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 50:50
Dorinthea Ironsong
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alexander Perekhov-Lef (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 82:18
Zyggy Starlight
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Logan King (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 71:29
Dash I/O
!
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Michael Feng (Dash I/O) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Dash I/O
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Josh Bibb (Dash I/O) - Expected: 61:39
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
25:75
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 25:75
Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Noah Beygelman (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 50:50
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
85:15
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Barrett Goss (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 83:17
Aurora, Legacy of Tempest
70:30
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Daniel Edwards (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 71:29
Katsu, the Wanderer
70:30
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Amber Pennington (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 69:31
36th 8-4-0
83%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
4.8
Surp
3.0
Diff
Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Gary Bull (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Puffin, Hightail
95:5
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jacob Thompson (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 94:6
Jarl Vetreiði
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Josh Lind (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 72:28
Zyggy Starlight
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs jeffrey nelson (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 71:29
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Andrew Rothermel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 25:75
Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Connor Babcock (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 50:50
Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Matt Muus (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Zyggy Starlight
!!
70:30
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Austin Redington (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Landon Lord (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 55:45
Dash I/O
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Michael Feng (Dash I/O) - Expected: 61:39
Arakni, Huntsman
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Jack Sandau (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 50:50
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Devin Simms (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 42:58
42nd 8-4-0
75%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
5.4
Surp
3.1
Diff
Arakni, Marionette
!
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nathan Lantos (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
Dash I/O
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nolan Pitts (Dash I/O) - Expected: 61:39
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Landon Lord (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 55:45
Aurora, Legacy of Tempest
!!
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Trent Williams (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 59:41
Kassai of the Golden Sand
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Dagan White (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Connor Babcock (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 50:50
Olympia, Prized Fighter
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Ryan Rich (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
25:75
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Bird Cabrera (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 25:75
Aurora, Legacy of Tempest
70:30
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Nicholas Wolverton (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 71:29
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
25:75
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 25:75
Aurora, Legacy of Tempest
70:30
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Daniel Edwards (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 71:29
76th 6-6-0
75%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
5.1
Surp
1.8
Diff
Valda, Seismic Impact
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jason Berard (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 76:24
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Liam Donnelly (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 25:75
Aurora, Legacy of Tempest
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Matthew Helphenstine (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 71:29
Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Coleman Beam (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Zyggy Starlight
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Thomas Bray (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 71:29
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jose Badillo (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 73:27
Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Lauren Stobbe (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Damien Riggins (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 50:50
Fai, Rising Rebellion
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Patrick Tetrick (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 45:55
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
25:75
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Justin Evans (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 25:75
Dash I/O
!
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Michael Feng (Dash I/O) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Dorinthea Ironsong
!!
80:20
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Tim Hickman (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 82:18, favorite upset
dropped 4-2-1
100%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.3
Diff
Aurora, Legacy of Tempest
!!
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Phillip Spader (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Colin Shoberg (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 50:50
Jarl Vetreiði
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Larry Durham (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 72:28
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Trent Williams (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 59:41
Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Draw vs Nathaniel Brower (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Lily Reynoso (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 73:27
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
75:25
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Kathryn Aulabaugh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 73:27
dropped 4-3-0
86%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.0
Diff
Puffin, Hightail
95:5
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ben Snyder (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 94:6
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Indie Hansen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 73:27
Arakni, Marionette
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Arjun Garg (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 31:69
Dash I/O
!
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Caleb Engen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Olympia, Prized Fighter
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ryan Rich (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Aurora, Legacy of Tempest
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Isaac Chall (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 71:29
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
75:25
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Kevin Ray (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 73:27
dropped 4-3-0
71%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.4
Diff
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Victor Nguyen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 55:45
Jarl Vetreiði
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Larry Durham (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 72:28
Aurora, Legacy of Tempest
!!
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Andrew Lorenz (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
Zyggy Starlight
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ezekiel Morrison (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 71:29
Arakni, Marionette
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Dyllon Dietz (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 31:69
Fai, Rising Rebellion
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Mason Taylor (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 45:55
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Ender Hansen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 55:45
dropped 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.6
Diff
Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Daniel Sternesky (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 50:50
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nicholas Porter (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 25:75
Dash I/O
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Travis Yeo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 61:39
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Perrin Franklin (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50
Dash I/O
!
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Sabastian Boyle-Mejia (Dash I/O) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Dash I/O
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jameon Delp (Dash I/O) - Expected: 61:39
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Joshua Kehe (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50
dropped 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.2
Diff
Kassai of the Golden Sand
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Isaac Hollermann (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alex Gieder (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 25:75
Dash I/O
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Chris Dewey (Dash I/O) - Expected: 61:39
Aurora, Legacy of Tempest
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Rex Carroll (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 71:29
Riptide, Lurker of the Deep
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Matthew Wehmer (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Lucas Barding (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 42:58
dropped 3-3-1
86%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.5
Diff
Kassai of the Golden Sand
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Steven Suh (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Jarl Vetreiði
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Michael Phillips (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 72:28
Zyggy Starlight
!!
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Austin Redington (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Draw vs Codi Barnett (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 50:50
Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Mitchell Gullach (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Marlynn, Treasure Hunter
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Christopher Shehan (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 60:40
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
25:75
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Josef Mendez (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 25:75
dropped 3-3-1
57%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.1
Diff
Arakni, Marionette
!
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jesse Jones (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Nathaniel Brower (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Kassai of the Golden Sand
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ryan Allen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Connor Babcock (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 50:50
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Matthew Renz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 25:75
Aurora, Legacy of Tempest
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Matthew Helphenstine (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 71:29
Arakni, Marionette
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Fangshuo Cao (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 31:69
dropped 3-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.5
Diff
Aurora, Legacy of Tempest
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Anthony Hook (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 71:29
Zyggy Starlight
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Austin Redington (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 71:29
Arakni, Marionette
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jason Feng (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 31:69
Fai, Rising Rebellion
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Patrick Tetrick (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 45:55
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
85:15
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Leian Xu (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 83:17
Arakni, Marionette
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Zachary Lyons (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 31:69
dropped 3-3-0
83%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.5
Diff
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Noah Fogle (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 73:27
Dorinthea Ironsong
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ray Shell (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 82:18
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Eric Dundas (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50
Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Damien Riggins (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 50:50
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Summer Giles (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 73:27
Arakni, Marionette
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Grant Rockefeller (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 31:69
dropped 3-3-0
67%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.1
Diff
Betsy, Skin in the Game
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Colton Branch (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 75:25
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Bryce Stroyek (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 25:75
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Bird Cabrera (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 25:75
Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ryan Wolfe (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 50:50
Betsy, Skin in the Game
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Randall Sims (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 75:25
Katsu, the Wanderer
!
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Amber Pennington (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
dropped 3-3-0
67%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.5
Diff
Aurora, Legacy of Tempest
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Chandler Bushnell (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 71:29
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Michael Shen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 73:27
Aurora, Legacy of Tempest
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Adrian Gebhart (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 71:29
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Brian Hoffman (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 25:75
Arakni, Marionette
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Arjun Garg (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 31:69
Kassai of the Golden Sand
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Wesley Dong (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
dropped 3-3-0
67%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.5
Diff
Kassai of the Golden Sand
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Marek Meyer (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Betsy, Skin in the Game
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Witt Lucas (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 75:25
Olympia, Prized Fighter
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Adam Hine (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Pankaj Bhojwani (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 25:75
Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ryan Dunbar (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 50:50
Fang, Dracai of Blades
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Nick Webb (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 33:67
dropped 2-4-0
67%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.1
Diff
Betsy, Skin in the Game
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Witt Lucas (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 75:25
Aurora, Legacy of Tempest
!!
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Adrian Gebhart (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
Puffin, Hightail
95:5
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jacob Thompson (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 94:6
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Bird Cabrera (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 25:75
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jesse Kennon (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 25:75
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
!!
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Kathryn Aulabaugh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
dropped 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.7
Surp
0.8
Diff
Valda, Seismic Impact
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ryan Jarvis (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 76:24
Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Noah Beygelman (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 50:50
Fai, Rising Rebellion
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tyler Pfaffenback (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 45:55
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
!!
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Noah Fogle (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
Zyggy Starlight
!!
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Robert Cutler (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
dropped 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.7
Diff
Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Justin Johnson (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 50:50
Dash I/O
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Charlie Heavilin (Dash I/O) - Expected: 61:39
Dash I/O
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Sean Baker (Dash I/O) - Expected: 61:39
Kassai of the Golden Sand
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jonathan Magnuson (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Aurora, Legacy of Tempest
!!
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Adrian Gebhart (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
dropped 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.8
Diff
Arakni, Marionette
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 31:69
Puffin, Hightail
95:5
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Joe Sturwold (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 94:6
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Keenan Humphrey (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50
Kassai of the Golden Sand
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Micheal Thompson (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Valda, Seismic Impact
!!
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Harrison Pruitt (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
dropped 1-3-1
80%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
2.7
Surp
0.2
Diff
Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs John Bracken (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Brandon Hartman (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 25:75
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
85:15
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Thomas Day (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 83:17
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Minh Tran (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 55:45
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs William Nguyen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 55:45
dropped 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.4
Diff
Fai, Rising Rebellion
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Caleb Wangler (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 45:55
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Luke Manship (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 55:45
Dash I/O
!
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Aron Zeller (Dash I/O) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Arakni, Marionette
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Nathan Lantos (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 31:69
dropped 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.8
Diff
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Trent Nguyen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 25:75
Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alan Chavarin (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Kassai of the Golden Sand
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Charles Poe (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Dash I/O
!
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Nicholas Geldrich (Dash I/O) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
dropped 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.1
Diff
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Joshua Kelly (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 73:27
Arakni, Marionette
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Logan Reinert (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 31:69
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Shawn Walker (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 25:75
Kassai of the Golden Sand
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kameron Bartels (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
dropped 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.0
Diff
Fai, Rising Rebellion
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Aidan Ayers (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 45:55
Puffin, Hightail
95:5
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Aidan Volden (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 94:6
Kassai of the Golden Sand
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Logan Petersen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jordan Bogart (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 25:75
dropped 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.2
Diff
Jarl Vetreiði
!!
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Brandon Stolzer (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset
Valda, Seismic Impact
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jason Berard (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 76:24
Arakni, Marionette
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Matthew Greenleaf (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 31:69
Dash I/O
!
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Edwin Ordonez (Dash I/O) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
dropped 0-3-1
100%
Meta
-2.4
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Zak Cargin (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 55:45
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Clayton Dell (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 55:45
Kassai of the Golden Sand
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs John Houder (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Dorinthea Ironsong
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Draw vs DANIEL WILLIAMS (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 82:18

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.