Puffin, Hightail at Calling: Kansas City 2026 — FaB-Results

Puffin, Hightail

Puffin, Hightail

10 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Gabriel Beckett

38th • 8-4-0

50%

Meta

+2.5

Perf

6.1

Surp

4.6

Diff

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Austin Henson (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 45:55

Valda, Seismic Impact

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Buster Sexton (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 55:45

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Dantes Ha (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 45:55

Olympia, Prized Fighter

R4

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Ryan Rich (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

25:75

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Trenton Gutridge (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory

Riptide, Lurker of the Deep

R6

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Matt Garner (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Marlynn, Treasure Hunter

R7

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Kai Sickler (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Arakni, Marionette

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56

Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X

R9

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Devin Simms (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Jarl Vetreiði

40:60

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Alexander Young (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 40:60

Riptide, Lurker of the Deep

R11

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Matthew Wehmer (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Arakni, Marionette

45:55

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Arjun Garg (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

50% (6/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.5 Wins (5.5 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

6.1 total deviation

Difficulty

4.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R2	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.15
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.28
R4	CC	Olympia, Prized Fighter	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	25%	Win	✗	0.75	0.83
R6	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R7	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.58
R8	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R9	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R10	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R11	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R12	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Win	✗	0.56	1.19

dropped • 4-3-0

29%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

3.6

Surp

2.7

Diff

Jarl Vetreiði

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Larry Durham (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 40:60

Jarl Vetreiði

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Todd France (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Kathryn Aulabaugh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

Arakni, Marionette

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Ryan Ward (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56

Arakni, Marionette

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Andrew Henderson (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56

Olympia, Prized Fighter

R6

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Riley Thomas (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Betsy, Skin in the Game

R7

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs David Dandikar (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Meta Fit

29% (2/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R2	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.38
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Win	✗	0.63	0.62
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.68
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R6	CC	Olympia, Prized Fighter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Betsy, Skin in the Game	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

dropped • 4-3-0

29%

Meta

+1.8

Perf

2.5

Surp

2.6

Diff

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Tyler Sorensen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

Kassai of the Golden Sand

5:95

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Zak Miller (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 6:94

Kassai of the Golden Sand

5:95

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jacob Dastas (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 6:94

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Dantes Ha (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 45:55

Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster

R5

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Joshua Campbell (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

25:75

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Ryan Goldfinger (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 25:75

Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster

R7

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Allen Towery (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Meta Fit

29% (2/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.8 Wins (2.2 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Win	✗	0.63	0.21
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	5%	Loss	✗	0.06	-
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	5%	Loss	✗	0.06	-
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.65
R5	CC	Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R7	CC	Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

dropped • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

2.9

Surp

2.2

Diff

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 25:75

Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Connor Babcock (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 36:64

Dash I/O

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Daniel Devine (Dash I/O) - Expected: 62:38

Oscilio, Forked Continuum

R4

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs David Senokossoff (Oscilio, Forked Continuum) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

Dash I/O

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Charlie Heavilin (Dash I/O) - Expected: 62:38

Katsu, the Wanderer

R6

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Griffin Murray (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Katsu, the Wanderer

R7

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Amber Pennington (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R2	CC	Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R3	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Win	✓	0.38	0.29
R4	CC	Oscilio, Forked Continuum	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	CC	Dash I/O	65%	Win	✓	0.38	0.48
R6	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

dropped • 3-4-0

86%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

3.3

Surp

2.2

Diff

Arakni, Huntsman

R1

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Michael Moss (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Sternesky (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 36:64

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Cameron Courtenay (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 56:44

Olympia, Prized Fighter

R4

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Dan Mui (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Aurora, Legacy of Tempest

R5

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Isaac Chall (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Pleiades, Superstar

R6

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Edwin Ahn (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Puffin, Hightail

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Aidan Volden (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.36
R4	CC	Olympia, Prized Fighter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Aurora, Legacy of Tempest	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Pleiades, Superstar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	CC	Puffin, Hightail	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

dropped • 2-5-0

71%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.4

Diff

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Kathryn Aulabaugh (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 37:63

Kassai of the Golden Sand

5:95

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Ryan Allen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 6:94

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Maddux Warren (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 56:44

R4

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs None (Unknown)

Fang, Dracai of Blades

R5

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Ethan Phillips (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn

R6

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Cole Matney (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Puffin, Hightail

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Stew Fraser (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	5%	Loss	✗	0.06	-
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R4	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	CC	Puffin, Hightail	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

dropped • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.7

Diff

Fang, Dracai of Blades

R1

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Ethan Phillips (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Rhinar, Reckless Rampage

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Robbie McReynolds (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 73:27

Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro

R3

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Devin McAtee (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Fang, Dracai of Blades

R4

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Trace Winborn (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Rhinar, Reckless Rampage

75:25

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs chris smith (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 73:27

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Landon Lord (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.15
R3	CC	Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	75%	Win	✓	0.27	0.38
R6	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-

dropped • 2-3-0

60%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

2.2

Surp

1.5

Diff

Kassai of the Golden Sand

5:95

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Marc Hansen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 6:94

Valda, Seismic Impact

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Micky Jacks (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 55:45

Fai, Rising Rebellion

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Patrick Tetrick (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 55:45

Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Jeremy Stockfleth (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate

R5

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Tader Kammeyer (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	5%	Loss	✗	0.06	-
R2	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.35
R3	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R4	CC	Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow	35%	Win	✗	0.64	1.19
R5	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

dropped • 2-3-0

60%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.4

Surp

1.4

Diff

Jarl Vetreiði

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Christopher Fernandez (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 40:60

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Ender Hansen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 45:55

Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn

R3

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs John Bracken (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Riptide, Lurker of the Deep

R4

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Oscar Zoltowski (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Fang, Dracai of Blades

R5

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Nick Webb (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R3	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

dropped • 0-3-0

33%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

0.8

Surp

0.0

Diff

Riptide, Lurker of the Deep

R1

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Samuel Van Winkle (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Kassai of the Golden Sand

5:95

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Kameron Bartels (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 6:94

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

25:75

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jonah Overholt (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 25:75

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (0.8 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	5%	Loss	✗	0.06	-
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

!

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

!!

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.