Fai, Rising Rebellion at Calling: Kansas City 2026
Fai, Rising Rebellion
11 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
17th • 9-3-0
67%
Meta
+2.6
Perf
5.4
Surp
4.0
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Derrick Schwarz (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 69:31
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Joshua Kelly (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs David Bruner (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Dyllon Dietz (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Lucas Oswald (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Andrew Rothermel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Josh Lind (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Brian Hoffman (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Illuvial Arnett (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Jonathan Magnuson (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 55:45
70:30
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Damien Riggins (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 69:31
R12
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Trent Williams (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.6 Wins (6.4 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.4 total deviation
Difficulty
4.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Zyggy Starlight | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Loss |
| R11 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 70% | Win |
| R12 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
66th • 7-5-0
58%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
5.9
Surp
3.8
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs James Wray (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 55:45
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Samuel Van Winkle (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jason Dutch (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 67:33
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs April May (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 69:31
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Trace Winborn (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Brandon Stolzer (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 51:49
Round 7: Win vs Joseph Scanlon (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs John Milner (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
Round 9: Loss vs Derrick Schwarz (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Jose Badillo (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Patrick Terpstra (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Landon Lord (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (6.2 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.9 total deviation
Difficulty
3.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Zyggy Starlight | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 70% | Loss |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
72nd • 7-5-0
67%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
6.2
Surp
3.5
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ryan Allen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Martin Cox (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Evan Herndon (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jason Feng (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Josh Bibb (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Nicholas Wolverton (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jordan Bogart (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Chandler To (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Barrett Goss (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R10
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Devin McAtee (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Landon Lord (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Dylan Deitz (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (5.9 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
6.2 total deviation
Difficulty
3.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
81st • 6-6-0
58%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
6.0
Surp
2.8
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ryan Wolfe (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 69:31
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Josh Lind (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ben Snyder (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Austin Miles (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kaileb Shipman (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Pankaj Bhojwani (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
Round 8: Loss vs Thomas Johnson-Averette (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Jeremy Werner (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 55:45
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Joshua Kehe (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 33:67
R11
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Ryan Rich (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R12
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs None (Unknown)
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (6.1 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
6.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 70% | Loss |
| R9 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Loss |
| R10 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Loss |
| R11 | Olympia, Prized Fighter | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.4
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Randall Robinson (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Logan McNeely (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 50:50
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kenneth Lyle (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jamie Seaborn (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Pankaj Bhojwani (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Adrian Gebhart (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Luke Manship (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.8
Surp
2.4
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Matt Reed (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Chris Dewey (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
Round 3: Win vs Matt Yee (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
Round 4: Loss vs Andrew Wilborn (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Indie Hansen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Micaiah Wooten (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 55:45
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Brandon Robinson (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 70% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.5
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Trevor Galligan (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Phillip Millwee (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Lee Kimball (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Brandon Hartman (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Daniel Smith (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zyggy Starlight | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Trevor Gullach (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Caleb Engen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ryan Rich (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Garrett Williams (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Olympia, Prized Fighter | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs William Marshall (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Josh Leier (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Coleman Beam (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jameon Delp (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.1
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Zachary Henneous (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 69:31
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Arjun Garg (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Geoffrey Hunt (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kevin Murphy (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
100%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Logan Reinert (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Adam Hine (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (2/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Olympia, Prized Fighter | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.