Arakni, Huntsman at Calling: Kansas City 2026
Arakni, Huntsman
9 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
25th • 9-3-0
83%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
4.1
Surp
3.1
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Griffin Murray (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Amy Hazel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
100:0
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Anthony Hook (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 100:0
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Emery Powell (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 42:58
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Mara Faris (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jonah Overholt (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 62:38
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Sean Baker (Dash I/O) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Jonathan Magnuson (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Samuel Van Winkle (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Micheal Porter (Dash I/O) - Expected: 62:38
65:35
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs John Milner (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 62:38
100:0
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Randall Robinson (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 100:0
Meta Fit
83% (10/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (7.3 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 100% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R11 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 100% | Win |
41st • 8-4-0
92%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
4.9
Surp
2.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jonathan Magnuson (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Darin Key (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Conley Hunt (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Dustin Patton (Dash I/O) - Expected: 62:38
100:0
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Phillip Spader (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 100:0
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Brandon Hartman (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 62:38
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Patrick Terpstra (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 62:38
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Andrew Wilborn (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 58:42
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Jeremy Pennington (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 42:58
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Matthew Renz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Zak Miller (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50
65:35
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Brian Hoffman (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 62:38
Meta Fit
92% (11/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (7.1 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
4.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 100% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 60% | Loss |
| R9 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Loss |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 65% | Win |
| R11 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 65% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Trip Hargrove (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Katherine Merwin (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 38:62
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Trent Willman (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Adam Hine (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Round 5: Loss vs Nicholas Geldrich (Dash I/O) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
80:20
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Alexander Perekhov-Lef (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 80:20
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Griffin Murray (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zyggy Starlight | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Olympia, Prized Fighter | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 80% | Win |
| R7 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.3
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Elijah Marshall (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Luke Leonard (Dash I/O) - Expected: 62:38
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Connor Babcock (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 58:42
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Joshua Campbell (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Cody Reed (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 60:40
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Nathaniel Brower (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Kaileb Shipman (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 62:38
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 65% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
100%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.6
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jonathan Riddell (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Aidan Ayers (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Steven O'Reilly (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Matthew McInnis (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kai Sickler (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Round 6: Loss vs Trenton Gutridge (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Chris Dewey (Dash I/O) - Expected: 62:38
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Zyggy Starlight | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-1
86%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
3.8
Surp
2.4
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Christiano Cavallo (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Round 2: Loss vs John Milner (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ryan Wolfe (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Dane Dickson (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Adam Hine (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Draw vs Ethan Phillips (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jacen Whitlock (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Olympia, Prized Fighter | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Draw |
| R7 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.4
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Stew Fraser (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Round 2: Loss vs Tyler Zeringue (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nathan Lantos (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
Round 4: Loss vs Illuvial Arnett (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Round 5: Loss vs Edwin Ordonez (Dash I/O) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Mara Faris (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
100% (6/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.7
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Mara Faris (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Matthew Greenleaf (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
Round 3: Loss vs Jordan Brengartner (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ryan Jarvis (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 60% | Win |
dropped • 1-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.5
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Illuvial Arnett (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jameon Delp (Dash I/O) - Expected: 62:38
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Alex Tyler (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.