Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster at Calling: Kansas City 2026
Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster
6 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.9
Diff
5:95
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Bryce Stroyek (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 6:94
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jonathan Riddell (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jamie Seaborn (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Daniel Smith (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Cole Matney (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Andro Castro Zuniga (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jacob Thompson (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 5% | Loss |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.8
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jordan Blankenship (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Elliot Bicker (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jason Brannick (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Allen Towery (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Dakota Jones (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
15:85
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Daniel Gardner (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 14:86
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 15% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.9
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Zak Miller (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jordan Vonderwell (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Round 3: Win vs Zachary Henneous (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Round 4: Win vs David Roger Jr. (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 14:86, underdog victory
15:85
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 14:86
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Caleb Hall (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (2.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 15% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 15% | Loss |
| R6 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-5-0
67%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.3
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs David Otte (Oscilio, Forked Continuum) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs JACOB BOWEN (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
5:95
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Raine Karan (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 6:94
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Derrick Schwarz (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 40:60
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Alan Chavarin (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Aaron Franklin (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Forked Continuum | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 5% | Loss |
| R4 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.2
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Codi Barnett (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 40:60
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs James Anderson (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Griffin Murray (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kent Summerour (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jacob Thompson (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
1.6
Surp
1.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Sabastian Boyle-Mejia (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Andrew Wilborn (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 40:60
Round 3: Win vs Colin Shoberg (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
15:85
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Daniel Gardner (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 14:86
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 15% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.