Jarl Vetreiði at Calling: Kansas City 2026
Jarl Vetreiði
14 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
2nd • 12-3-0
53%
Meta
+5.0
Perf
6.5
Surp
6.8
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ethan Beam (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 59:41
20:80
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Logan King (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 19:81
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nick Webb (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 25:75
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Michael Gohl (Dash I/O) - Expected: 75:25
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jordan Brengartner (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Richard Moore (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Josh Leier (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Derrick Schwarz (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs John Milner (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Gabriel Beckett (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 60:40
Round 11: Win vs Tader Kammeyer (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
R12
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Brandon Robinson (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
40:60
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Jacob Clements (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 40:60
60:40
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Austin Henson (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 60:40
30:70
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Matt Muus (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
53% (8/15 favorable matchups)
Performance
+5.0 Wins (7.0 expected, 12 actual)
Surprise
6.5 total deviation
Difficulty
6.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Zyggy Starlight | 20% | Loss |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Puffin, Hightail | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 30% | Win |
| R12 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R14 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R15 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 30% | Loss |
20th • 9-2-1
75%
Meta
+2.3
Perf
4.8
Surp
3.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Connor Babcock (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Patrick Tetrick (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 49:51
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Zak Miller (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 28:72
Round 4: Win vs Alex Tyler (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Mike Headley (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 64:36
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Ethan Beam (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs William Bradshaw (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 49:51
80:20
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Amber Pennington (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 78:22
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Justin Evans (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
R10
R10 CC
Round 10: Draw vs Matthew Wehmer (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
75:25
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Edwin Ordonez (Dash I/O) - Expected: 75:25
90:10
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Lucas Barding (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 90:10
Meta Fit
75% (9/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.3 Wins (6.7 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
4.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 25% | Win |
| R5 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 80% | Win |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Draw |
| R11 | Dash I/O | 75% | Win |
| R12 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 90% | Win |
39th • 8-4-0
58%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
5.3
Surp
2.5
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ross Fontana (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 60:40
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Matthew Renz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nicholas Porter (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Lee Kimball (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Brian Hoffman (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Josh Leier (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Illuvial Arnett (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Landon Lord (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Jack Sandau (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 58:42
Round 10: Loss vs Evan Herndon (Dash I/O) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Andrew Rothermel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
90:10
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Zack Phillips (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 89:11
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (6.7 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, Huntsman | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Dash I/O | 75% | Loss |
| R11 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 90% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-1
56%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.4
Diff
90:10
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Justin Anthony (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 89:11
90:10
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Matthew Helphenstine (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 89:11
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kai Pickett (Dash I/O) - Expected: 75:25
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Draw vs Austin Ford (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Robbie McReynolds (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 50:50
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Devin McAtee (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Nicholas Porter (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Matthew Renz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
20:80
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Robert Cutler (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 19:81
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (5.0 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 90% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 90% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Draw |
| R5 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Zyggy Starlight | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.3
Diff
Round 1: Win vs William Garrison (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Andrew Rothermel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Greg Gutierrez (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 68:32
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Joshua Maxson (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 38:62
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Alexander Perekhov-Lef (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Caleb Wangler (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 49:51
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Christiano Cavallo (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ryan Goldfinger (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
Round 2: Win vs Mitchell Gullach (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
90:10
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Shawn Travelstead (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 89:11
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jacob Sanders (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 58:42
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Caleb Engen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 75:25
20:80
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jamie Foster (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 18:82
Round 7: Loss vs Landon Lord (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 90% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 20% | Loss |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Andrew Rothermel (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs BEN LADWIG (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Patrick Terpstra (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Andrew Maggert (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 68:32
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Carlos Romero (Dash I/O) - Expected: 75:25
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Alexander Young (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Dylan Arnold (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-1
71%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
3.3
Surp
0.5
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Keenan Humphrey (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 68:32
20:80
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Luke Shinn (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 18:82
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alex Gieder (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Andrew Henderson (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 40:60
Round 5: Loss vs Maddux Warren (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Draw vs Billal Mahmoud (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Nick Reznick (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 20% | Loss |
| R3 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Loss |
| R6 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 60% | Draw |
| R7 | Arakni, Huntsman | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 1-5-1
71%
Meta
-2.6
Perf
3.8
Surp
0.7
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Matthew Wehmer (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Isaac Hollermann (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 28:72
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Derrick Schwarz (Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Trevor Gullach (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 40:60
Round 5: Loss vs Ian Carrico (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Shawn Adams (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Draw vs DANIEL WILLIAMS (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Hala, Bladesaint of the Vow | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Loss |
| R6 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Draw |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.1
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kirby Hill (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 60:40
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Joshua Lau (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Grant Rockefeller (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 40:60
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Christopher Dietz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
Round 5: Loss vs Nathan Crawford (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 89:11, favorite upset
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 90% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.3
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ethan Gill (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 60:40
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Micaiah Wooten (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 28:72
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jon Gibson (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 28:72
90:10
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jeremy Constance (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 89:11
Round 5: Loss vs Jordan Vonderwell (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 90% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.2
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Patrick Morris (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 64:36
20:80
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs BRAD ALLRED (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: 18:82
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Summer Giles (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
Round 4: Loss vs Sean Baker (Dash I/O) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 20% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 75% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.1
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Joshua Kehe (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 68:32
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dakota Jones (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Joshua Fritz (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tony Mathews (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
100%
Meta
-2.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 75% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.