Vynnset, Iron Maiden at Calling: Memphis 2026
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
23 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
10th • 9-3-0
50%
Meta
+3.6
Perf
5.9
Surp
5.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Charlie Heavilin (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Domenic Wilkins (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 36:64
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Josiah Avery (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Aidan Ayers (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Brenden Jones (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
Round 6: Win vs Luis Cisneros (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Tristan Del Pako (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Norberto Hernandez (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Yasunari Sakuma (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
Round 10: Win vs Matthew McInnis (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Theodore Tan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Matthew Bowar (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
50% (6/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.6 Wins (5.4 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.9 total deviation
Difficulty
5.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Pleiades, Superstar | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Win |
| R11 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 35% | Loss |
13th • 9-3-0
50%
Meta
+2.9
Perf
5.7
Surp
4.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Blaze Lewis (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Logan McNeely (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 46:54
Round 3: Win vs Tommy Day (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Robert Sexton (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs charles singleton (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Sebastiano Cavallo (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 67:33
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Yuki Lee Bender (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Thomas Johnson-Averette (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 59:41
80:20
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Ed Bracamontes (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 81:19
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Shane Martin (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Andrew Cook (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
50% (6/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.9 Wins (6.1 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.7 total deviation
Difficulty
4.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Pleiades, Superstar | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 80% | Win |
| R11 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
26th • 8-4-0
42%
Meta
+2.4
Perf
5.2
Surp
4.4
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Casey Walker (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 28:72
Round 2: Win vs David Lee (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jackson Simons (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 81:19
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Samuel Young (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 36:64
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Pat Eshghy (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Lucas Barding (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 48:52
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Anthony Perry (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 59:41
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Joseph Marchant (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 67:33
35:65
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Wesley Dong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 33:67
Round 10: Win vs Timothy Bowar (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Ethan Davison (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Chandler To (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
42% (5/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.4 Wins (5.6 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.2 total deviation
Difficulty
4.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Win |
| R9 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Loss |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Win |
| R11 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 45% | Loss |
36th • 7-5-0
50%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
5.5
Surp
2.8
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mayszen Phillips (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 67:33
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Brendon Bloom (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs William Bradshaw (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs ZACHARY JENSEN (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Corwin Benton (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Thomas Johnson-Averette (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 59:41
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Evan Bridges (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 33:67
Round 9: Win vs Phillip Kendall (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Shane Martin (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Arjun Garg (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Barrett Goss (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
50% (6/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (5.8 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Pleiades, Superstar | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 35% | Loss |
| R9 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Win |
| R10 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 45% | Loss |
| R11 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Loss |
50th • 6-6-0
25%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
5.5
Surp
2.3
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Michael Allen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Round 2: Win vs Micah Luff (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Charlie Heavilin (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Adam Fronsee (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 81:19
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Richard Moretti (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jacob Baugh (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Andrew Clayton (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Micheal Porter (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
35:65
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Matthew Bowar (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 33:67
R10
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Bea Budnik (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
35:65
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Matthew McInnis (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 33:67
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Brian Hoffman (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
25% (3/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (5.5 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
5.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 80% | Win |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 35% | Loss |
| R10 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Loss |
| R12 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 6-5-0
36%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
5.4
Surp
3.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jacob Johnson (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Damien Riggins (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Coleman Beam (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Nicholas Wolverton (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Evan Ford (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 48:52
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jonathan (chugs) Moore (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 62:38
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Patrick Morris (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Nathanael Frautschy (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Matthew Renz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Robert Sexton (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
36% (4/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (5.3 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
5.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Pleiades, Superstar | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-2-1
57%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.8
Diff
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jon Barmore (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 81:19
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Johnny Miley (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Richard Moretti (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 59:41
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Draw vs Logan Barnes (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 37:63
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Tim Lee (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 45:55
80:20
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Kevin Murphy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 81:19
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 35% | Draw |
| R6 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 80% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.5
Surp
3.1
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Chandler Bushnell (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 25:75
Round 2: Loss vs Robin Andrews (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 81:19, favorite upset
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Darryl Couch (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Coleman Beam (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jeffrey Rybak (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs William Spiars (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 80% | Loss |
| R3 | Pleiades, Superstar | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.8
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Payten Climer (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Isaac Chall (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Zachary Lyons (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Levi Zinkhon (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 81:19
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Joseph Musgrove (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 36:64
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Mark Morrison (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 33:67
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Travis Yeo (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 80% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.8
Surp
0.8
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Norberto Hernandez (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Zeni Ragsdale (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Hayden Christoffersen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Zackary Young (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
80:20
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jon Barmore (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 81:19
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Chad Wischmeyer (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 67:33
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Dominic Delmont (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 80% | Win |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
14%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ryan Majeski (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 45:55
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kyle McKeough (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 37:63
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Isaac Chall (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Randy May (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jacob Baugh (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Hayden Christoffersen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jeremy Pennington (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 28:72
Meta Fit
14% (1/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Taylor Nifong (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Austin Henson (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Andrew Chambers (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Shawn Walker (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 45:55
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Dylan Ashcraft (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 36:64
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jason Watkins (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jonathan Presley (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
29%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Johnny Miley (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Chad Wischmeyer (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 67:33
Round 3: Win vs Rodrigo Martinez (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jesse Kennon (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Joseph Hoyng (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 28:72
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Tho Bui (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Joel Grizzelle (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
29%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs NICOLE HEENAN (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nathan Vargas (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Robert Sexton (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 46:54
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Drew Peastrel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 36:64
Round 5: Win vs Rodrigo Martinez (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Hunter Platt (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Cody Williams (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
29%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.5
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Rodrigo Martinez (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Michael Feng (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Richard Smithson (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Matthew Bowar (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 33:67
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Douglas Jones (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs John Milner (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Pleiades, Superstar | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-2
71%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.4
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Drew Peastrel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 36:64
Round 2: Loss vs Grant Rockefeller (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Round 3: Loss vs Tayler Allen (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 81:19, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Patrick Tetrick (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Draw vs Aidan Volden (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 49:51
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Draw vs Payten Climer (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 36:64
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Christopher Fernandez (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 80% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Draw |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Draw |
| R7 | Pleiades, Superstar | 60% | Win |
dropped • 1-6-0
43%
Meta
-2.4
Perf
3.5
Surp
0.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tyler Brotton (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jacob Johnson (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Scott Sharpe (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Tim Lee (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 45:55
Round 6: Loss vs Ryan Jarvis (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Xavier Emery (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
33%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.1
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Zack Phillips ()
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Dayton Blair (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tader Kammeyer (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Charlie Heavilin (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Drew Peastrel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 36:64
Round 6: Loss vs Robin Andrews (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 81:19, favorite upset
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | 50% | Win | |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 80% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.3
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Emery Powell (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ryan Jarvis (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 62:38
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nicholas Wolverton (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs David Lee (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Pleiades, Superstar | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.6
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Hemal Patel (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 25:75
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Paul Johnson (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Joshua Exe (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 48:52
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Maxwell Martrich (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 67:33
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Win |
dropped • 0-2-1
33%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs BEN LADWIG (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Peyton Elliott (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 37:63
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Johnathan Esquivel (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Draw |
dropped • 0-3-0
0%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Micheal Porter (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Joshua Briggs (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 33:67
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Payten Climer (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
0% (0/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
0%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Phillip Kendall (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 33:67
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Aurelio Arcabascio (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 33:67
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs David Lee (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
0% (0/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.