Fai, Rising Rebellion at Calling: Memphis 2026
Fai, Rising Rebellion
9 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 5-5-0
30%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
4.6
Surp
2.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kaileb Shipman (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Justin Slayton (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 65:35
Round 3: Win vs Chase Keeton (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Will Matthews (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Patrick Morris (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 38:62
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Timothy Long (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 60:40
Round 7: Win vs Chris Simpson (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Andrew Rothermel (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 33:67
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Bea Budnik (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Corwin Benton (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
30% (3/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Huntsman | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Loss |
| R9 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jo Burch (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Hans Schubert (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mason Brantley (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Nathaniel Lansangan (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 60:40
Round 5: Win vs Kevin Murphy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Ryan Valentino (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 73:27
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Nathanael Frautschy (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 30% | Win |
| R6 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 75% | Win |
| R7 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
0%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.4
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ethan Gill (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 41:59
Round 2: Win vs Jeremie Maurina (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Yuki Lee Bender (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
Round 4: Win vs Curtis Roth (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Round 5: Win vs Randy Davis (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Hunter Platt (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
0% (0/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
29%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ryan Wallace (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Norberto Hernandez (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
Round 3: Win vs Lucas Mainhart (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Thao Lopez (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Sam Andersen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Cody Williams (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 40:60
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Aidan Volden (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.5
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Austin Henson (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Chris Simpson (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tim Lee (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 65:35
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Andrew Cook (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Chase Keeton (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.4
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Mara Faris (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 33:67
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs William Snead (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 43:57
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs NICOLE HEENAN (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 60:40
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Logan Barnes (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 34:66
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Brandon King (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.4
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Phillip Spader (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 40:60
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Joshua Exe (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 60:40
Round 3: Loss vs Dominic Delmont (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 81:19, favorite upset
Round 4: Loss vs Aaron Franklin (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 80% | Loss |
| R4 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.3
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Douglas Jones (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 38:62
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Larry Durham (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: 64:36
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Mara Faris (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 33:67
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs John Milner (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
0%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Steven Cawyer (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs William Garrison (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tristan Del Pako (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 38:62
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Nathaniel Gibbs (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
0% (0/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.