Fai, Rising Rebellion

Fai, Rising Rebellion

9 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

dropped 5-5-0
30%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
4.5
Surp
2.5
Diff
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kaileb Shipman (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59
Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Justin Slayton (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
!
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Chase Keeton (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Will Matthews (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59
Valda, Seismic Impact
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Patrick Morris (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 25:75
Arakni, Huntsman
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Timothy Long (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 67:33
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
!
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Chris Simpson (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
20:80
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Andrew Rothermel (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 21:79
Bravo, Showstopper
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Bea Budnik (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Corwin Benton (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59
dropped 4-3-0
57%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.3
Diff
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jo Burch (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Hans Schubert (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mason Brantley (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 73:27
Arakni, Huntsman
!
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Nathaniel Lansangan (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Prism, Awakener of Sol
!
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kevin Murphy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate
100:0
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Ryan Valentino (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 100:0
Marlynn, Treasure Hunter
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Nathanael Frautschy (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 50:50
dropped 4-3-0
14%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.5
Diff
Jarl Vetreiði
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ethan Gill (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 56:44
Valda, Seismic Impact
!!
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jeremie Maurina (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Yuki Lee Bender (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
!
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Curtis Roth (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
!
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Randy Davis (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Arakni, Marionette
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 26:74
Valda, Seismic Impact
25:75
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Hunter Platt (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 25:75
dropped 2-5-0
43%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.2
Diff
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ryan Wallace (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Norberto Hernandez (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
Dorinthea Ironsong
!
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Lucas Mainhart (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Kassai of the Golden Sand
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Thao Lopez (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50
Arakni, Marionette
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Sam Andersen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 26:74
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Cody Williams (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 38:62
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Aidan Volden (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 43:57
dropped 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.7
Diff
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Austin Henson (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 73:27
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Chris Simpson (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tim Lee (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Andrew Cook (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 41:59
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Chase Keeton (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
dropped 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.4
Diff
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Mara Faris (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 21:79
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs William Snead (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 43:57
Arakni, Huntsman
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs NICOLE HEENAN (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 67:33
Dorinthea Ironsong
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Logan Barnes (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 35:65
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Brandon King (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
dropped 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.3
Diff
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Phillip Spader (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 38:62
Arakni, Huntsman
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Joshua Exe (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 67:33
Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster
!!
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Dominic Delmont (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Aaron Franklin (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
dropped 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.5
Diff
Valda, Seismic Impact
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Douglas Jones (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 25:75
Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Larry Durham (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Mara Faris (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 21:79
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs John Milner (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 38:62
dropped 0-4-0
0%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.0
Diff
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Steven Cawyer (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 43:57
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs William Garrison (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 43:57
Valda, Seismic Impact
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tristan Del Pako (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 25:75
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Nathaniel Gibbs (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 21:79

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.