Ira, Scarlet Revenger

Ira, Scarlet Revenger

5 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

32nd 8-4-0
50%
Meta
+2.4
Perf
6.1
Surp
4.9
Diff
Arakni, Marionette
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Dyllon Dietz (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
Dorinthea Ironsong
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Joshua Lau (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 59:41
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Phillip Spader (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Prism, Awakener of Sol
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Logan King (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 56:44
Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jason Watkins (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
!
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Shawn Edwards (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
!
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Curtis Roth (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Pleiades, Superstar
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Dagan White (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 33:67
Valda, Seismic Impact
65:35
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Robert Sexton (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 64:36
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
!
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Dan Mui (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Arakni, Marionette
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Yasunari Sakuma (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Mara Faris (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
dropped 6-4-0
80%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
4.0
Surp
2.2
Diff
Fai, Rising Rebellion
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Andy truong (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 62:38
Arakni, Marionette
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Arjun Garg (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Barrett Goss (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Kayo, Underhanded Cheat
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Hemal Patel (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 75:25
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Samuel Young (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 72:28
Valda, Seismic Impact
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Zachary Knutson (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 64:36
Marlynn, Treasure Hunter
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Chandler To (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 50:50
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Wesley Dong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 36:64
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Yuki Lee Bender (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48
R10
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs None ()
dropped 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.2
Diff
Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Zach Salada (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Katsu, the Wanderer
!
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Sebastiano Cavallo (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
!
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Micah Luff (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Matthew McInnis (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 36:64
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Luis Cisneros (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 36:64
Fai, Rising Rebellion
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Matthew Windham (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 62:38
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Joseph Pinzone (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
dropped 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.0
Surp
2.2
Diff
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Aaron Grace (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 50:50
Marlynn, Treasure Hunter
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Chandler To (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 50:50
Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Codi Barnett (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Fai, Rising Rebellion
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs William Bradshaw (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 62:38
Dorinthea Ironsong
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Phillip Millwee (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 59:41
Pleiades, Superstar
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Emery Powell (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 33:67
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs charles singleton (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
dropped 1-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.6
Diff
Valda, Seismic Impact
!
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tader Kammeyer (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Katsu, the Wanderer
!
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Andre Francis (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Katsu, the Wanderer
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Roger Price (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 64:36

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.