Kayo, Underhanded Cheat
5 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 4-2-1
86%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.7
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Charlie Manning (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 75:25
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jackson Simons (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 64:36
Round 3: Loss vs Reuben An (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Nicholas Wilkins (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 42:58
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jonathan (chugs) Moore (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Chandler To (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 56:44
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Draw vs Levi Zinkhon (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 64:36
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 65% | Draw |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.9
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Dagan White (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alex Herzog (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 56:44
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Phillip Bourner (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Christopher Fernandez (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Dakota Galloway (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 6: Win vs Cameron Gumm (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Luis Cisneros (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Pleiades, Superstar | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Pleiades, Superstar | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.9
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Yasunari Sakuma (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 38:62
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Phillip Kauffman (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Round 3: Win vs Timothy Bowar (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Thomas Johnson-Averette (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Diana Green (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Phillip Bourner (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Pleiades, Superstar | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.7
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nathaniel Gibbs (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 75:25
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Emanuel Corps-Ortiz (Dash I/O) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Christopher Fernandez (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Phillip Spader (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Pleiades, Superstar | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Timothy Long (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Curtis Roth (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 35% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.