Marlynn, Treasure Hunter
9 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
11th • 9-3-0
42%
Meta
+3.8
Perf
5.7
Surp
5.3
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Zeni Ragsdale (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 37:63
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs John Milner (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 52:48
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Witt Lucas (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 67:33
Round 4: Win vs Tim Hickman (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 21:79, underdog victory
Round 5: Win vs Jo Burch (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Chandler Bushnell (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Phillip Spader (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 52:48
Round 8: Win vs Caleb Lolley (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
25:75
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 26:74
70:30
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Dagan White (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 70:30
30:70
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Austin Redington (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 30:70
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Andrew Rothermel (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
42% (5/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.8 Wins (5.2 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.7 total deviation
Difficulty
5.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 20% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 30% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 25% | Loss |
| R10 | Pleiades, Superstar | 70% | Win |
| R11 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 30% | Loss |
| R12 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Win |
14th • 9-3-0
33%
Meta
+3.6
Perf
5.4
Surp
5.5
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Travis Yeo (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
90:10
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Matthew Bowar (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 91:9
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Andrew Lorenz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 37:63
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Dylan Ford (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Round 5: Win vs Brian Hoffman (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Ed Bracamontes (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 30:70
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Trey Herring (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 64:36
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Taylor Nifong (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Sean Baker (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
20:80
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Kyle McKeough (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 21:79
Round 11: Win vs Jeremy Chen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Theodore Tan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
33% (4/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.6 Wins (5.4 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.4 total deviation
Difficulty
5.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 25% | Win |
| R2 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 90% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R10 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 20% | Loss |
| R11 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Win |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
29%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.0
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 21:79
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Viola Sun (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 43:57
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Stephen Rollyson (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Round 4: Win vs Evan Dasher (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 21:79, underdog victory
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 26:74
Round 6: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
5:95
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jonny Espejo (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 7:93
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 20% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 5% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
33%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.3
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Damien Riggins (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Diana Green (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Zackary Young (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Viola Sun (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 43:57
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs William Garrison (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 67:33
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Kevin Murphy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 30:70
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Pleiades, Superstar | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
0%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.9
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs William Marshall (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 21:79
20:80
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tim Hickman (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 21:79
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Franklin Brown (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 44:56
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Robin Andrews (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 30:70
Meta Fit
0% (0/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 20% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.3
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 55:45
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Spencer Orman (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 70:30
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Austin Henson (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 33:67
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Travis Yeo (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 26:74
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Pleiades, Superstar | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.6
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Robbie Valdez (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Bethany Romans (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 44:56
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs David Gillespie (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 21:79
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jacob Johnson (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 20% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
25%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.0
Diff
5:95
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Joel Grizzelle (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 7:93
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Brenden Jones (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 26:74
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nick Webb (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 37:63
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Andrew Chambers (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 5% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
0%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
0.6
Surp
0.0
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Arjun Garg (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 26:74
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jon Barmore (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 30:70
Meta Fit
0% (0/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (0.6 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 30% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.