Rhinar, Reckless Rampage at Calling: Memphis 2026
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
10 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs John Milner (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Joshua Stewart (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 42:58
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Rex Carroll (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 28:72
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Michael Feng (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Robbie Valdez (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Round 6: Win vs Dylan Ashcraft (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
15:85
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Robert Sexton (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 14:86
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Pleiades, Superstar | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R7 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 15% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
3.2
Surp
3.1
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Cavin Saravanan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 28:72
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Phillip Millwee (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 42:58
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jose Badillo (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Round 4: Win vs Christopher Durham (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Peyton Elliott (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 42:58
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Taylor Crawford (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Timothy Bowar (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 30:70
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.6
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Micah Luff (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Maxwell Martrich (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 57:43
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Randy May (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 28:72
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Dennis Guinn (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 46:54
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Alex Herzog (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs David Gillespie (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Alexander Vore (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.7
Diff
15:85
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Luke Shinn (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 14:86
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mayszen Phillips (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Dakota Cook (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jonathan Presley (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Lucas Barding (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 55:45
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs ZACHARY JENSEN (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 28:72
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Wesley Dong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 15% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
2.8
Surp
2.0
Diff
15:85
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Logan McNeely (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 14:86
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Johnathan Esquivel (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 55:45
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Chandler To (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ryan Jarvis (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Timothy Scroggs (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Alex Lindley (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
80:20
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Brett Williamson (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 81:19
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 15% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 80% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-1
86%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.9
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Andrew Lorenz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Thao Lopez (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Shawn Edwards (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 55:45
15:85
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tristan Del Pako (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 14:86
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Draw vs Joseph Preston (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Brendon Bloom (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Matthew Windham (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 15% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Draw |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.5
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Maxwell Martrich (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 57:43
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Zachary Lyons (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 28:72
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Mark Morrison (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Micah Luff (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Sebastiano Cavallo (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs William Spiars (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Tho Bui (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
dropped • 2-4-0
67%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.9
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs ZACHARY JENSEN (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 28:72
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs None ()
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Gabriel Kammeyer (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 30:70
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Brendon Bloom (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Curtis Roth (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jonathan Presley (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | 50% | Win | |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Huntsman | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Joshua Exe (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 55:45
Round 2: Loss vs Kyle James (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 81:19, favorite upset
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tim Hickman (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 42:58
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Stephen Rollyson (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs James Wray (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 80% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
0%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
0.6
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Sean Baker (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59
15:85
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Patrick Morris (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 14:86
Meta Fit
0% (0/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (0.6 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 15% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.