Calling: Memphis 2026 - Rhinar, Reckless Rampage (CC) - FaB-Results

Rhinar, Reckless Rampage

Rhinar, Reckless Rampage

10 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

dropped • 4-3-0

43%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

3.4

Surp

2.4

Diff

Ira, Scarlet Revenger

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs John Milner (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50

Dorinthea Ironsong

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Joshua Stewart (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

Arakni, Marionette

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Rex Carroll (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61

Pleiades, Superstar

R4

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Michael Feng (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Robbie Valdez (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 57:43

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

35:65

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Dylan Ashcraft (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

Valda, Seismic Impact

10:90

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Robert Sexton (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 11:89

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.42
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R4	CC	Pleiades, Superstar	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R6	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Win	✗	0.65	1.30
R7	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	10%	Loss	✗	0.11	-

dropped • 4-3-0

14%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

3.4

Surp

3.5

Diff

Arakni, Marionette

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Cavin Saravanan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61

Dorinthea Ironsong

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Phillip Millwee (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 36:64

Kayo, Underhanded Cheat

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jose Badillo (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 65:35

Jarl Vetreiði

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Christopher Durham (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

Dorinthea Ironsong

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Peyton Elliott (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

Marlynn, Treasure Hunter

35:65

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Taylor Crawford (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

35:65

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Timothy Bowar (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65

Meta Fit

14% (1/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

3.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R2	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R3	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.27
R4	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.77
R5	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	35%	Win	✗	0.64	1.06
R6	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	35%	Win	✗	0.67	1.36
R7	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-

William Garrison

dropped • 4-3-0

29%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

3.4

Surp

3.2

Diff

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Micah Luff (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

Fai, Rising Rebellion

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Maxwell Martrich (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 57:43

Arakni, Marionette

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Randy May (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61

Fang, Dracai of Blades

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Dennis Guinn (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

Marlynn, Treasure Hunter

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Alex Herzog (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 33:67

Kassai of the Golden Sand

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs David Gillespie (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 43:57

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Alexander Vore (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

29% (2/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

3.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R2	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.23
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R4	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.77
R5	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R6	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	45%	Win	✗	0.57	1.05
R7	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Win	✗	0.54	1.12

dropped • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.8

Perf

2.8

Surp

1.8

Diff

Valda, Seismic Impact

10:90

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Luke Shinn (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 11:89

Fai, Rising Rebellion

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Mayszen Phillips (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 57:43

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Dakota Cook (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

Arakni, Huntsman

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Jonathan Presley (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 55:45

Arakni, Huntsman

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Lucas Barding (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 55:45

Arakni, Marionette

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs ZACHARY JENSEN (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Wesley Dong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	10%	Loss	✗	0.11	-
R2	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.23
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.44
R4	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.49
R5	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.62
R6	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R7	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

dropped • 4-3-0

57%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

2.6

Surp

2.0

Diff

Valda, Seismic Impact

10:90

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Logan McNeely (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 11:89

Arakni, Huntsman

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Johnathan Esquivel (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 55:45

Marlynn, Treasure Hunter

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Chandler To (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 33:67

Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Ryan Jarvis (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Timothy Scroggs (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54

Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Alex Lindley (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 55:45

Prism, Awakener of Sol

75:25

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Brett Williamson (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 76:24

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	10%	Loss	✗	0.11	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.25
R3	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R4	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R6	CC	Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.75
R7	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	75%	Win	✓	0.24	0.40

dropped • 3-3-1

43%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

3.1

Surp

2.1

Diff

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Andrew Lorenz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54

Kassai of the Golden Sand

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Thao Lopez (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 43:57

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Shawn Edwards (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

Valda, Seismic Impact

10:90

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Tristan Del Pako (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 11:89

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Draw vs Joseph Preston (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 51:49

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Brendon Bloom (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54

Fai, Rising Rebellion

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Matthew Windham (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.35
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R4	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	10%	Loss	✗	0.11	-
R5	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Draw	✓	0.51	-
R6	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.96
R7	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.81

dropped • 3-4-0

43%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

3.2

Surp

1.8

Diff

Fai, Rising Rebellion

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Maxwell Martrich (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 57:43

Arakni, Marionette

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Zachary Lyons (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Mark Morrison (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Micah Luff (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

Katsu, the Wanderer

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Sebastiano Cavallo (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 44:56

Dash I/O

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs William Spiars (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Tho Bui (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.12
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.58
R5	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R6	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R7	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Win	✗	0.54	1.12

Nathan Crawford

dropped • 2-4-0

50%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

2.8

Surp

1.1

Diff

Arakni, Marionette

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs ZACHARY JENSEN (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61

R2

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs None ()

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Gabriel Kammeyer (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Brendon Bloom (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Curtis Roth (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

Arakni, Huntsman

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Jonathan Presley (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R2	CC		50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.75
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R6	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

2.6

Surp

1.0

Diff

Arakni, Huntsman

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Joshua Exe (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 55:45

Prism, Awakener of Sol

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Kyle James (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset

Dorinthea Ironsong

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Tim Hickman (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 36:64

Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Stephen Rollyson (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50

Arakni, Huntsman

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs James Wray (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.17
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	75%	Loss	✓	0.76	-
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R4	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-

dropped • 0-2-0

0%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

0.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

Dash I/O

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Sean Baker (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62

Valda, Seismic Impact

10:90

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Patrick Morris (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 11:89

Meta Fit

0% (0/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R2	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	10%	Loss	✗	0.11	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

!

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

!!

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.