FaB-Results

Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn at Calling: Memphis 2026

Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn

Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn

7 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Robbie Valdez
dropped • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.0
Diff
Marlynn, Treasure Hunter
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Shawn Walker (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 58:42
Dash I/O
!
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs John Booher (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Evan Bridges (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Katsu, the Wanderer
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Grant Rockefeller (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 47:53
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Aaron Grace (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 43:57
Katsu, the Wanderer
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Caleb Lolley (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 47:53
Arakni, Marionette
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jesse Kennon (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66
Zach Salada
dropped • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.7
Diff
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Cody Williams (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Valda, Seismic Impact
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tristan Del Pako (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 47:53
Arakni, Marionette
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 34:66
Dash I/O
!
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs William Spiars (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Charles Castille (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Valda, Seismic Impact
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Joel Grizzelle (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 47:53
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jeremy Chen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
Jason Watkins
dropped • 2-5-0
43%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.4
Diff
Valda, Seismic Impact
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jeffrey Rybak (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 47:53
Fang, Dracai of Blades
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dennis Guinn (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 27:73
Jarl Vetreiði
!
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Bethany Romans (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
Arakni, Huntsman
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Brooks Olree (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 43:57
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Barrett Goss (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jacob Johnson (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 55:45
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Brett Shirley (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 59:41
Tim Lee
dropped • 2-4-0
33%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.8
Surp
0.9
Diff
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alexander Vore (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Wesley Dong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 43:57
Fai, Rising Rebellion
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Rothhaar (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 35:65
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Luis Cisneros (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 43:57
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Andrew Chambers (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 55:45
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Dane Dickson (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 55:45
Coleman Beam
dropped • 1-4-0
80%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.2
Diff
Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Joshua Campbell (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Evan Bridges (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Taylor Nifong (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 55:45
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Charlie Manning (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 55:45
Dash I/O
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs William Spiars (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60
Justin Slayton
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.8
Diff
Fang, Dracai of Blades
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Patrick Weiss (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 27:73
Fai, Rising Rebellion
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Joseph Marchant (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 35:65
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Phillip Kauffman (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Prism, Awakener of Sol
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Brett Williamson (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 47:53
Codi Barnett
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
Dorinthea Ironsong
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Evan Dasher (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 47:53
Katsu, the Wanderer
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Caleb Lolley (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 47:53
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs John Milner (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.