Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
17 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
35th • 8-3-1
75%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
5.7
Surp
4.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Franklin Brown (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Thomas Johnson-Averette (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 57:43
Round 3: Loss vs Dakota Galloway (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Oscar Cotton (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 64:36
Round 5: Win vs Tho Bui (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jonny Espejo (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 71:29
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 65:35
20:80
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Robin Andrews (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 22:78
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Drew Peastrel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 10: Loss vs Andrew Rothermel (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Round 11: Win vs Norberto Hernandez (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
70:30
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Zachary Knutson (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 71:29
Meta Fit
75% (9/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (6.4 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.7 total deviation
Difficulty
4.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Pleiades, Superstar | 55% | Draw |
| R3 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 20% | Loss |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Loss |
| R11 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Win |
| R12 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 70% | Win |
dropped • 5-4-0
67%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.3
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Joseph Preston (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jonathan (chugs) Moore (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
15:85
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kyle McKeough (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 17:83
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Joseph Pinzone (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Andrew Callahan (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Robert Sexton (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 71:29
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Dan Mui (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 28:72
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Patrick Weiss (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Timothy Bowar (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 15% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
| R8 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Loss |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.6
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Austin Revera (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 38:62
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Justin Anthony (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Dylan Ashcraft (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
15:85
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Phillip Millwee (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 17:83
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Xavier Emery (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 64:36
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Aurelio Arcabascio (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 63:37
75:25
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Aaron Franklin (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: 75:25
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 15% | Loss |
| R5 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 75% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.8
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Tim Hickman (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 17:83, underdog victory
Round 2: Win vs Nicholas Wilkins (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Austin Revera (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Sebastiano Cavallo (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs David Dandikar (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Corwin Benton (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Brian Hoffman (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 15% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
3.7
Surp
1.8
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs David Lee (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 63:37
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 36:64
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ryan Valentino (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Nathan Vargas (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
Round 5: Loss vs Timothy Long (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
Round 6: Loss vs Aaron Franklin (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jason Watkins (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 70% | Loss |
| R6 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 75% | Loss |
| R7 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 40% | Win |
dropped • 1-5-1
71%
Meta
-3.1
Perf
3.8
Surp
0.3
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs David Dandikar (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 38:62
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ben DeLange (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36
Round 4: Loss vs Evan Ford (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Brendon Bloom (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 38:62
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Draw vs Joseph Preston (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36
Round 7: Loss vs Aiden Tylavsky (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-3.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 70% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Draw |
| R7 | Arakni, Huntsman | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.4
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Michael Feng (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Zackary Young (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Domenic Wilkins (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jonathan (chugs) Moore (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jacob Johnson (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36
Round 6: Loss vs Aaron Grace (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (6/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Pleiades, Superstar | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
33%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.7
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Joel Thompson (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 69:31
15:85
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Sarah Marley (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 17:83
Round 3: Win vs William Marshall (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 17:83, underdog victory
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jonny Espejo (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 71:29
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 38:62
20:80
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Levi Zinkhon (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 22:78
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 15% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 15% | Win |
| R4 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.5
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Theodore Tan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 28:72
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Connor Clark (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 3: Win vs Paul Johnson (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Andrew Rothermel (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Phillip Spader (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 31:69
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Grant Rockefeller (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-1
80%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.7
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Johnathan Esquivel (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 71:29
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Patrick Tetrick (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nathan Crawford (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 65:35
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 38:62
Round 5: Loss vs David Lee (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 70% | Draw |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.6
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Rothhaar (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 36:64
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jacob Johnson (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ryan Majeski (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 67:33
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jo Burch (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 38:62
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Michael Feng (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Pleiades, Superstar | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.5
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Randy Davis (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kyle Proctor (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 71:29
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tyler Brotton (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 71:29
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Theodore Tan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 28:72
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Nicholas Wilkins (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.8
Diff
Round 1: Win vs David Hoss (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Johnny Miley (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kyle James (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 22:78
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Caleb Lolley (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Hayden Christoffersen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 20% | Loss |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.6
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Reuben An (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 22:78
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Samuel Young (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jesse Carmack (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Richard Smithson (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Randy May (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
Round 2: Loss vs Tommy Day (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Trey Herring (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 36:64
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Timothy Scroggs (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
50%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nicholas Wilkins (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 36:64
Round 2: Loss vs Luis Cisneros (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Meta Fit
50% (1/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
0.9
Surp
0.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Justin Kinison (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs David Hoss (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 28:72
Meta Fit
50% (1/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (0.9 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.