Arakni, Marionette
19 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
1st • 13-2-0
67%
Meta
+4.7
Perf
6.6
Surp
6.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs James Wray (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Franklin Brown (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 54:46
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Zach Salada (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 66:34
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ethan Davison (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Taylor Crawford (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 74:26
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Yuanji Li (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Adrian Gebhart (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Sean Baker (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
75:25
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Chandler To (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 74:26
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Theodore Tan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Emanuel Corps-Ortiz (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Evan Bridges (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 73:27
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs ZACHARY JENSEN (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Michael Hamilton (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
67% (10/15 favorable matchups)
Performance
+4.7 Wins (8.3 expected, 13 actual)
Surprise
6.6 total deviation
Difficulty
6.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 75% | Win |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R11 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 75% | Win |
| R14 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R15 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
3rd • 10-4-0
86%
Meta
+2.4
Perf
6.2
Surp
4.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nathan Crawford (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 61:39
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alex Lindley (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 68:32
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Randy Davis (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Mara Faris (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Phillip Bourner (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 68:32
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs William Snead (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jacob Baugh (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Ed Bracamontes (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Arjun Garg (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Andrew Cook (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51
65:35
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Hunter Platt (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Lucas Oswald (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
86% (12/14 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.4 Wins (7.6 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
6.2 total deviation
Difficulty
4.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R14 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
5th • 11-2-0
92%
Meta
+4.0
Perf
6.0
Surp
4.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Andrew Chambers (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Dane Dickson (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Emery Powell (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Yuki Lee Bender (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Mara Faris (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Yasunari Sakuma (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Kyle McKeough (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 62:38
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Emanuel Corps-Ortiz (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
75:25
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Evan Bridges (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 73:27
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Michael Hamilton (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Jacob Clements (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs ZACHARY JENSEN (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
92% (12/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+4.0 Wins (7.0 expected, 11 actual)
Surprise
6.0 total deviation
Difficulty
4.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Pleiades, Superstar | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 75% | Win |
| R11 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
17th • 9-3-0
92%
Meta
+2.4
Perf
5.7
Surp
4.7
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Daeton Harris (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 74:26
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Phillip Spader (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Theodore Tan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
Round 4: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Peter Buddensiek (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Michael Clair (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Jacob Baugh (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs ZACHARY JENSEN (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Phillip Kendall (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Mara Faris (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Yuki Lee Bender (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
92% (11/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.4 Wins (6.6 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.7 total deviation
Difficulty
4.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
25th • 8-4-0
67%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
5.9
Surp
3.7
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Dakota Galloway (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 62:38
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Noah Beygelman (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Matthew Renz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Michael Clair (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 64:36
Round 5: Win vs Kyle James (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Round 6: Win vs Reuben An (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Chase Keeton (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Justin Anthony (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Naib Mobassir (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 67:33
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Barrett Goss (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 57:43
Round 12: Loss vs Damien Riggins (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (6.3 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.9 total deviation
Difficulty
3.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R11 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Pleiades, Superstar | 60% | Loss |
49th • 7-5-0
92%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
5.3
Surp
3.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Aidan Ayers (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Scott Sharpe (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 74:26
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Hunter Platt (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 64:36
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Zeni Ragsdale (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Justin Anthony (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Tader Kammeyer (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 64:36
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Hayden Christoffersen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 67:33
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Ethan Davison (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Norberto Hernandez (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Zachary Lyons (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R11
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs None ()
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Corwin Benton (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
92% (11/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (6.9 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Pleiades, Superstar | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | 50% | Win | |
| R12 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
dropped • 6-5-0
82%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
5.1
Surp
2.0
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Aaron Franklin (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: 75:25
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Steven Cawyer (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs David Dandikar (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Devin Simms (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 69:31
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Charlie Heavilin (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
Round 6: Loss vs Patrick Weiss (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Round 7: Loss vs Shane Martin (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Zachary Knutson (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 64:36
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Matthew McInnis (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Brenden Jones (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 11: Loss vs Robert Sexton (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
82% (9/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (6.6 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
5.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Loss |
| R8 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Win |
| R9 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 5-5-0
70%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
5.2
Surp
1.7
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 61:39
Round 2: Win vs Adam Fronsee (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Will Matthews (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51
Round 4: Win vs Austin Redington (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Phillip Kendall (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Matthew Renz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Sarah Marley (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 62:38
Round 8: Loss vs Damien Riggins (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Jeremy Chen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51
Round 10: Loss vs Zachary Knutson (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
70% (7/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (5.2 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
5.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Pleiades, Superstar | 60% | Loss |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 5-4-0
67%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
4.4
Surp
1.8
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Logan King (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Round 2: Loss vs Zachary Knutson (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Luke Shinn (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jacob Martin (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Andrew Cook (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Matthew McInnis (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Robbie Valdez (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 66:34
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Brian Hoffman (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Noah Beygelman (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.8
Surp
2.5
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Barrett Goss (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 57:43
Round 2: Win vs Logan King (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Oscar Cotton (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 68:32
Round 4: Loss vs Ryan Valentino (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs John Booher (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jeremy Chen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Sam Andersen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 75% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.3
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Sarah Marley (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jeremiah Gardner (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kaileb Shipman (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alexander Young (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 64:36
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Zackary Young (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs David Lee (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Robin Andrews (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Sam Andersen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Gabriel Kammeyer (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Brooks Olree (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Joseph Preston (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs None ()
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Christopher Fernandez (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 61:39
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Chad Wischmeyer (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | 50% | Win | |
| R6 | Pleiades, Superstar | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Mason Brantley (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Hannah Watts (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 62:38
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs William Garrison (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Blaze Lewis (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Micheal Porter (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Pat Eshghy (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Patrick Tetrick (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 2: Loss vs Anthony Perry (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Logan McNeely (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 64:36
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ed Bracamontes (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Matthew Windham (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 58:42
Round 6: Loss vs Dagan White (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Dyllon Dietz (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Pleiades, Superstar | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
100%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
3.7
Surp
1.4
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Nathanael Frautschy (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
Round 2: Loss vs David Gillespie (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Chad Wischmeyer (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 55:45
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ryan Majeski (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 74:26
Round 5: Loss vs Isaac Chall (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Brandon King (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs David Dandikar (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (4.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 75% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.9
Surp
0.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kevin Lindenmayer (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Aidan Ayers (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Aaron Grace (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 61:39
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Emanuel Corps-Ortiz (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Caleb Lolley (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Sebastiano Cavallo (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Pleiades, Superstar | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
33%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
3.3
Surp
0.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Chase Keeton (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Stephen Harris (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56
Round 3: Loss vs Sarah Marley (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Chris Simpson (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Dakota Cook (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53
Round 6: Loss vs Diana Green (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs NICOLE HEENAN (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56
Round 3: Loss vs Joshua Stewart (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs BEN LADWIG (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Randy May (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Zackary Young (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Joseph Pinzone (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Timothy Long (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Brett Shirley (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.