Pleiades, Superstar
11 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
12th • 9-3-0
42%
Meta
+3.8
Perf
6.1
Surp
5.5
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Alex Herzog (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Taylor Nifong (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 41:59
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Zeni Ragsdale (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 70:30
15:85
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Phillip Kendall (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 17:83
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Andrew Clayton (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 43:57
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Matthew Bowar (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Round 7: Win vs Zachary Knutson (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
Round 8: Win vs Cavin Saravanan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Austin Revera (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Caleb Lolley (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50
R11
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Evan Bridges (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Round 12: Win vs Yasunari Sakuma (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Meta Fit
42% (5/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.8 Wins (5.2 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
6.1 total deviation
Difficulty
5.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 15% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 35% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
24th • 8-4-0
58%
Meta
+2.2
Perf
4.9
Surp
3.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mel Falcon (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 41:59
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Oscar Cotton (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs David Gillespie (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Thomas Johnson-Averette (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs John Milner (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 56:44
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Nicholas Wilkins (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 70:30
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Matthew Renz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Dan Mui (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
30:70
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Austin Redington (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 29:71
70:30
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Patrick Weiss (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 70:30
15:85
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Noah Beygelman (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 17:83
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.2 Wins (5.8 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
4.9 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Pleiades, Superstar | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 30% | Loss |
| R11 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Win |
| R12 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 15% | Loss |
39th • 7-4-1
42%
Meta
+2.0
Perf
6.0
Surp
3.8
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Curtis Roth (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 17:83, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Timothy Bowar (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Cody Campbell (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 61:39
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Dakota Galloway (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Emery Powell (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 6: Win vs Chris Simpson (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 17:83, underdog victory
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Mara Faris (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 41:59
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Bea Budnik (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Brian Hoffman (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 61:39
15:85
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Mark Morrison (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 17:83
Round 12: Loss vs Jeremy Chen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
42% (5/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.0 Wins (5.0 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
6.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 15% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Draw |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Pleiades, Superstar | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 15% | Win |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Loss |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 15% | Loss |
| R12 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
38th • 7-5-0
33%
Meta
+2.1
Perf
5.5
Surp
4.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Diana Green (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 44:56
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Reuben An (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 29:71
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tho Bui (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 61:39
15:85
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Noah Beygelman (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 17:83
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Evan Dasher (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Round 6: Win vs Sam Andersen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Round 7: Win vs Kyle James (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Barrett Goss (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 56:44
Round 9: Win vs Ethan Davison (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
30:70
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Chandler To (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 30:70
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Caleb Lolley (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
33% (4/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.1 Wins (4.9 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.5 total deviation
Difficulty
4.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 15% | Loss |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 30% | Win |
| R8 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, Huntsman | 40% | Win |
| R10 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 30% | Loss |
| R11 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.8
Surp
1.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Dylan Ashcraft (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs charles singleton (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 41:59
Round 3: Loss vs Corwin Benton (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Aaron Grace (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Austin Henson (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
Round 6: Loss vs Andrew Cook (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs James Wray (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Huntsman | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-6-0
57%
Meta
-2.0
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.0
Diff
15:85
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tommy Day (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 17:83
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Brandon King (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ethan Gill (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Chad Wischmeyer (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Josiah Avery (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Aiden Tylavsky (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 38:62
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs None ()
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 15% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Huntsman | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | 50% | Win |
dropped • 1-6-0
29%
Meta
-2.0
Perf
3.0
Surp
0.3
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Dayton Blair (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 33:67
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Josiah Avery (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Hemal Patel (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Diana Green (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Chad Wischmeyer (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Patrick Tetrick (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Joseph Preston (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-1
50%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Peyton Elliott (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Robert Sexton (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 33:67
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Jeremie Maurina (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 33:67
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Charles Castille (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 35% | Draw |
| R4 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.3
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Brenden Jones (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Rex Carroll (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61
Round 3: Loss vs Pat Eshghy (Dash I/O) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Justin Anthony (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.0
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jackson Simons (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 29:71
Round 2: Loss vs Andrew Cook (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Charlie Manning (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
0%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
0.8
Surp
0.0
Diff
15:85
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Adrian Gebhart (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 17:83
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ryan Majeski (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 30:70
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Christopher Durham (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
0% (0/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (0.8 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 15% | Loss |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.