Kassai of the Golden Sand
7 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
34th • 8-4-0
58%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
5.0
Surp
3.4
Diff
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Taylor Crawford (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 79:21
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Brett Shirley (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Douglas Jones (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 64:36
Round 4: Win vs Arjun Garg (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Zachary Knutson (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 64:36
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Austin Revera (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 29:71
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Austin Redington (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Noah Beygelman (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Caleb Lolley (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 58:42
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Yasunari Sakuma (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 33:67
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Taylor Nifong (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Dagan White (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (6.3 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Loss |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R11 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Pleiades, Superstar | 55% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Thao Lopez (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jacob Baugh (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 29:71
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs David Hoss (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Micheal Porter (Dash I/O) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Damien Riggins (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 57:43
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Joshua Stewart (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 64:36
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Justin Kinison (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Pleiades, Superstar | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.6
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Stephen Rollyson (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 53:47
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Will Matthews (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 29:71
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ajay Bennington (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Andrew Wilborn (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 29:71
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Walter Snowden (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Christopher Iaali (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Brenden Jones (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.0
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Patrick Morris (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 64:36
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jeremy Chen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 29:71
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mel Falcon (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Taylor Nifong (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ed Bracamontes (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 44:56
Round 6: Loss vs Sarah Marley (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
67%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
3.1
Surp
0.7
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Logan Barnes (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Round 2: Win vs Travis Yeo (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Shawn Walker (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 79:21
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Emery Powell (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ethan Davison (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs William Garrison (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Pleiades, Superstar | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.4
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Richard Smithson (Dash I/O) - Expected: 55:45
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nathaniel Gibbs (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
Round 3: Loss vs Samuel Young (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
95:5
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alex Lindley (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 95:5
Round 5: Loss vs Hunter Platt (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 95% | Win |
| R5 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Andrew Clayton (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Aidan Volden (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 57:43
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Larry Durham (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Matthew Windham (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.