FaB-Results
Katsu, the Wanderer

Katsu, the Wanderer

6 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Caleb Lolley
23rd • 8-4-0
67%
Meta
+2.5
Perf
6.3
Surp
4.4
Diff
Bravo, Showstopper
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Bea Budnik (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Codi Barnett (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 53:47
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
!!
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Joshua Briggs (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 18:82, underdog victory
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Walter Snowden (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50
Arakni, Marionette
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Rex Carroll (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Robbie Valdez (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 53:47
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Corwin Benton (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
Marlynn, Treasure Hunter
!!
70:30
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Chandler To (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset
Kassai of the Golden Sand
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Naib Mobassir (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
Pleiades, Superstar
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Damien Riggins (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 50:50
Pleiades, Superstar
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Dagan White (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 50:50
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
20:80
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Wesley Dong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 18:82
Grant Rockefeller
dropped • 4-2-1
57%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
3.7
Surp
3.4
Diff
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Matthew Renz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
!
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Joseph Preston (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Brandon King (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Robbie Valdez (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 53:47
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
!!
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Aurelio Arcabascio (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 18:82, underdog victory
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Samuel Young (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
20:80
R7 CC
Round 7: Draw vs Randy Davis (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 18:82
Sebastiano Cavallo
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.1
Diff
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ryan Jarvis (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 45:55
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Cody Williams (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 43:57
Dorinthea Ironsong
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Joshua Lau (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 54:46
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Joseph Musgrove (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Steven Cawyer (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 56:44
Arakni, Marionette
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Rex Carroll (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 33:67
Chad Wischmeyer
dropped • 2-5-0
29%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.3
Diff
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Chris Simpson (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 18:82
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jacob Martin (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 33:67
Arakni, Marionette
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Travis Yeo (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
Pleiades, Superstar
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alex Oltremari (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 50:50
Pleiades, Superstar
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Christopher Fernandez (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 50:50
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Ajay Bennington (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 33:67
Arakni, Marionette
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Patrick Tetrick (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
Andre Francis
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.6
Diff
Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Evan Bridges (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Trent Williams (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 43:57
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Aurelio Arcabascio (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 18:82
Valda, Seismic Impact
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Joel Grizzelle (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 36:64
Roger Price
dropped • 0-3-0
0%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
0.8
Surp
0.0
Diff
Arakni, Huntsman
15:85
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kirby Hill (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 16:84
Arakni, Huntsman
15:85
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ethan Davison (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 16:84
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Trent Williams (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 43:57

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.