Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X at Calling: Memphis 2026
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
5 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Raheel Khalid (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Round 2: Loss vs Drew Peastrel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Joel Grizzelle (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Dylan Ashcraft (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Chandler Bushnell (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
20:80
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Taylor Nifong (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 20:80
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Richard Moretti (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 20% | Loss |
| R7 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-5-0
71%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.4
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Sebastiano Cavallo (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
20:80
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Mel Falcon (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 20:80
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Logan Duplessis (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Witt Lucas (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Franklin Brown (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Round 6: Win vs Andrew Chambers (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 20:80, underdog victory
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Alex Lindley (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 20% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 20% | Win |
| R7 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Charles Castille (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Michael Hamilton (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 55:45
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Dan Mui (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Zachary Lyons (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Chris Simpson (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 23:77
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Curtis Roth (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 23:77
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
1.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs John Booher (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dakota Galloway (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Justin Slayton (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Joshua Campbell (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 50% | Win |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.5
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Hayden Christoffersen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Aiden Tylavsky (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Taylor Crawford (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Nicholas Ward (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.