Calling: Memphis 2026 - Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X (CC) - FaB-Results

Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X

Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X

5 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Jonathan (chugs) Moore

dropped • 4-3-0

86%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

3.2

Surp

1.9

Diff

Fang, Dracai of Blades

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Raheel Khalid (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 58:42

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Drew Peastrel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48

Valda, Seismic Impact

R3

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Joel Grizzelle (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Dylan Ashcraft (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48

Kayo, Underhanded Cheat

R5

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Chandler Bushnell (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Taylor Nifong (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 38:62

Fang, Dracai of Blades

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Richard Moretti (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.11
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R3	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.54
R5	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R7	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.78

dropped • 2-5-0

43%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.8

Diff

Katsu, the Wanderer

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Sebastiano Cavallo (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 55:45

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Mel Falcon (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 38:62

Jarl Vetreiði

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Logan Duplessis (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

Rhinar, Reckless Rampage

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Witt Lucas (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 50:50

Jarl Vetreiði

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Franklin Brown (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 38:62

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Andrew Chambers (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster

R7

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Alex Lindley (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R3	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.61
R4	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R6	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	40%	Win	✗	0.62	1.19
R7	CC	Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

dropped • 3-3-0

33%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.9

Diff

Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate

R1

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Charles Castille (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Michael Hamilton (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Dan Mui (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42

Arakni, Marionette

30:70

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Zachary Lyons (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 31:69

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Chris Simpson (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 35:65

Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty

35:65

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Curtis Roth (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 35:65

Meta Fit

33% (2/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.37
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.39
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R6	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-

Phillip Kauffman

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

1.0

Diff

Dash I/O

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs John Booher (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52

Kayo, Underhanded Cheat

R2

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Dakota Galloway (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn

R3

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Justin Slayton (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster

R4

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Joshua Campbell (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R2	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Stephen Rollyson

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

2.2

Surp

1.0

Diff

Kassai of the Golden Sand

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Hayden Christoffersen (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 47:53

Arakni, Huntsman

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Aiden Tylavsky (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory

Marlynn, Treasure Hunter

R3

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Taylor Crawford (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Rhinar, Reckless Rampage

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Nicholas Ward (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	25%	Win	✗	0.75	1.00
R3	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

!

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

!!

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.