Jarl Vetreiði at Calling: Memphis 2026
Jarl Vetreiði
10 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.4
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Andrew Rothermel (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 76:24
90:10
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs William Marshall (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 90:10
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jacob Baugh (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
Round 4: Loss vs Kyle McKeough (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 90:10, favorite upset
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Austin Redington (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Nathaniel Lansangan (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Andrew Cook (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 90% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 90% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.4
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Dan Mui (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
90:10
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Lucas Mainhart (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 90:10
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alex Lindley (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Randy Davis (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 22:78
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jeremie Maurina (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 57:43
20:80
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Wesley Dong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 22:78
75:25
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Christopher Iaali (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 76:24
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 90% | Win |
| R3 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
| R5 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
dropped • 2-5-0
86%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Timothy Bowar (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 42:58
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Matt Reed (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs None ()
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ryan Jarvis (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jeremie Maurina (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 57:43
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Oscar Cotton (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | 50% | Win | |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-1
83%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.0
Surp
0.8
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Dakota Cook (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 22:78, underdog victory
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Pat Eshghy (Dash I/O) - Expected: 74:26
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs James Wray (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tader Kammeyer (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 57:43
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jacob Martin (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 76:24
Round 6: Loss vs Nicholas Wilkins (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Draw |
| R4 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Yuanji Li (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 44:56
20:80
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Shawn Edwards (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 22:78
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alex Oltremari (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Brandon King (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 69:31
Round 5: Loss vs Norberto Hernandez (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Dayton Blair (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
| R3 | Pleiades, Superstar | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 70% | Loss |
| R6 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 55% | Win |
dropped • 0-3-2
80%
Meta
-2.3
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Richard Moretti (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
20:80
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Chase Keeton (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 22:78
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Joshua Campbell (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Draw vs Aiden Tylavsky (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Johnathan Esquivel (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
| R3 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 50% | Draw |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Draw |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.8
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Isaac Chall (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 57:43
20:80
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dakota Cook (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 22:78
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Spencer Orman (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Round 4: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
| R3 | Pleiades, Superstar | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Brendon Bloom (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Shawn Walker (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Round 3: Loss vs Jason Watkins (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.0
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Wesley Dong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 22:78
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dylan Ford (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Connor Clark (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Lucas Barding (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 48:52
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Aaron Franklin (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ryan Jarvis (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.