Calling: Memphis 2026 - Jarl Vetreiði (CC)

Jarl Vetreiði

10 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Casey Walker

dropped • 4-3-0

86%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

3.2

Surp

1.5

Diff

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Andrew Rothermel (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 72:28

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs William Marshall (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 69:31

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jacob Baugh (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

70:30

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Kyle McKeough (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Austin Redington (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Nathaniel Lansangan (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Andrew Cook (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.07
R2	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.15
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.41
R4	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	70%	Loss	✓	0.69	-
R5	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R6	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.83
R7	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Jeremy Pennington

dropped • 4-3-0

57%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

2.9

Surp

1.8

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Dan Mui (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Lucas Mainhart (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 69:31

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Alex Lindley (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

30:70

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Randy Davis (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Jeremie Maurina (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 65:35

30:70

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Wesley Dong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68

70:30

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Christopher Iaali (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 72:28

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R2	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.15
R3	CC	Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster	35%	Win	✗	0.67	0.68
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-
R5	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.45
R6	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-
R7	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.48

Franklin Brown

dropped • 2-5-0

71%

Meta

-1.6

Perf

3.4

Surp

1.1

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Timothy Bowar (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Matt Reed (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 56:44

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs None ()

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Ryan Jarvis (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 62:38

65:35

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Jeremie Maurina (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

35:65

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Oscar Cotton (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 33:67

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R3	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R4	CC		50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	65%	Win	✓	0.38	0.48
R6	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R7	CC	Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-

Joseph Hoyng

dropped • 3-2-1

67%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

2.7

Surp

0.8

Diff

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Dakota Cook (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Pat Eshghy (Dash I/O) - Expected: 74:26

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Draw vs James Wray (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 51:49

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Tader Kammeyer (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

70:30

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Jacob Martin (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 72:28

30:70

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Nicholas Wilkins (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 30:70

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	30%	Win	✗	0.68	0.28
R2	CC	Dash I/O	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.14
R3	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	50%	Draw	✓	0.51	-
R4	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R5	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.40
R6	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-

Ethan Gill

dropped • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.6

Surp

1.4

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Yuanji Li (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 59:41

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Shawn Edwards (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Alex Oltremari (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 62:38

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Brandon King (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Norberto Hernandez (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

65:35

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Dayton Blair (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 65:35

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-
R3	CC	Pleiades, Superstar	65%	Win	✓	0.38	0.34
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.42
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R6	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.63

Lauren Simpson

dropped • 0-3-2

40%

Meta

-2.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.0

Diff

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Richard Moretti (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 30:70

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Chase Keeton (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Draw vs Joshua Campbell (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 33:67

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Draw vs Aiden Tylavsky (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Johnathan Esquivel (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-
R3	CC	Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster	35%	Draw	✗	0.33	-
R4	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	50%	Draw	✓	0.51	-
R5	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Christopher Durham

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.5

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Isaac Chall (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Dakota Cook (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Spencer Orman (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 62:38

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-
R3	CC	Pleiades, Superstar	65%	Win	✓	0.38	0.51
R4	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-

Bethany Romans

dropped • 0-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.8

Perf

1.8

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Brendon Bloom (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Shawn Walker (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 56:44

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jason Watkins (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R3	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	70%	Loss	✓	0.68	-

Jesse Carmack

dropped • 0-3-0

67%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.0

Diff

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Wesley Dong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Dylan Ford (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Connor Clark (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	30%	Loss	✗	0.32	-
R2	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Logan Duplessis

dropped • 0-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.9

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Lucas Barding (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 51:49

80:20

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Aaron Franklin (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: 80:20, favorite upset

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Ryan Jarvis (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	CC	Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant	80%	Loss	✓	0.80	-
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	65%	Loss	✓	0.62	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.