Dorinthea Ironsong
12 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
21st • 8-4-0
75%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
5.1
Surp
2.4
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs None ()
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Christopher Iaali (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 63:37
85:15
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Drew Peastrel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 83:17
Round 4: Win vs Casey Walker (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Matthew Renz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Charlie Heavilin (Dash I/O) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Austin Revera (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 38:62
Round 9: Loss vs Evan Bridges (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
80:20
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Nathanael Frautschy (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 79:21
Round 11: Loss vs Matthew Bowar (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
15:85
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Mark Morrison (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 13:87
Meta Fit
75% (9/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (6.5 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | 50% | Win | |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 85% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 65% | Loss |
| R10 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 80% | Win |
| R11 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 65% | Loss |
| R12 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 15% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
100%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.4
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Codi Barnett (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 53:47
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Bea Budnik (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Timothy Scroggs (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
Round 4: Loss vs Taylor Crawford (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 79:21, favorite upset
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Dagan White (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Dylan Ford (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jeremie Maurina (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 80% | Loss |
| R5 | Pleiades, Superstar | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.7
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Phillip Bourner (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Barrett Goss (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Sebastiano Cavallo (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Andrew Lorenz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Theodore Tan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Isaac Chall (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 50:50
15:85
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Noah Beygelman (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 13:87
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 15% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.2
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Parker Lusk (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
85:15
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Randall Robinson (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 83:17
Round 3: Win vs Cameron Gumm (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Zachary Knutson (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 50:50
15:85
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Hans Schubert (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 13:87
Round 6: Win vs Nicholas Wolverton (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Cavin Saravanan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 85% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 15% | Loss |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-1
50%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.2
Diff
Round 1: Win vs David Gillespie (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Austin Redington (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jo Burch (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Mayszen Phillips (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 66:34
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Draw vs Dane Dickson (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 63:37
Round 6: Win vs Adam Fronsee (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Draw |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jeremiah Gardner (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 50:50
Round 2: Loss vs Aaron Grace (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Round 3: Win vs Blaze Lewis (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kaileb Shipman (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
15:85
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Adrian Gebhart (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 13:87
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Andrew Clayton (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 15% | Loss |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.8
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Steve Gilland (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Cody Mainhart (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 63:37
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kevin Lindenmayer (Dash I/O) - Expected: 55:45
Round 4: Loss vs Dominic Delmont (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Round 5: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Pleiades, Superstar | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.5
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nathaniel Lansangan (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 25:75
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Patrick Morris (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 50:50
85:15
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Domenic Wilkins (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 83:17
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs John Milner (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 85% | Win |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.5
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Joseph Musgrove (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 83:17, favorite upset
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Matt Reed (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 79:21
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nicholas Ward (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 64:36
Round 4: Loss vs Chandler To (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 79:21, favorite upset
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Brett Williamson (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 85% | Loss |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 80% | Win |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 80% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.1
Diff
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Matt Reed (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 79:21
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Casey Walker (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 31:69
Round 3: Loss vs Randall Robinson (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 83:17, favorite upset
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 85% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Brian Hoffman (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Randy May (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 38:62
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jesse Hudak (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.0
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jonathan Presley (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 25:75
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jeremy Pennington (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 31:69
Round 3: Loss vs Matthew Windham (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.