Dorinthea Ironsong at Calling: Memphis 2026

Dorinthea Ironsong

12 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Kyle McKeough

21st • 8-4-0

75%

Meta

+2.0

Perf

5.1

Surp

3.1

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs None ()

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Christopher Iaali (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 77:23

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Drew Peastrel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 74:26

10:90

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Casey Walker (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 10:90, underdog victory

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Matthew Renz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Charlie Heavilin (Dash I/O) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Austin Revera (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

40:60

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Lucas Oswald (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 42:58

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Evan Bridges (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

80:20

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Nathanael Frautschy (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 80:20

R11

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Matthew Bowar (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

10:90

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Mark Morrison (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 11:89

Meta Fit

75% (9/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.0 Wins (6.0 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

5.1 total deviation

Difficulty

3.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC		50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.08
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	75%	Win	✓	0.23	0.06
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.11
R4	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	10%	Win	✗	0.90	1.11
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.41
R6	CC	Dash I/O	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.45
R7	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.57
R8	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R9	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	80%	Win	✓	0.20	0.27
R11	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R12	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	10%	Loss	✗	0.11	-

Evan Dasher

dropped • 4-3-0

86%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

3.8

Surp

2.6

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Codi Barnett (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Bea Budnik (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Timothy Scroggs (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

80:20

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Taylor Crawford (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 80:20, favorite upset

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Dagan White (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Dylan Ford (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Jeremie Maurina (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.42
R4	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	80%	Loss	✓	0.80	-
R5	CC	Pleiades, Superstar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	45%	Win	✗	0.55	1.14

Joshua Lau

dropped • 4-3-0

43%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.1

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Phillip Bourner (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Barrett Goss (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 41:59

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Sebastiano Cavallo (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Andrew Lorenz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Theodore Tan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Isaac Chall (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 45:55

10:90

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Noah Beygelman (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 11:89

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.37
R3	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.57
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R6	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.98
R7	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	10%	Loss	✗	0.11	-

Sarah Marley

dropped • 4-3-0

14%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.8

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Parker Lusk (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 42:58

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Randall Robinson (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 74:26

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Cameron Gumm (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 42:58

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Zachary Knutson (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 45:55

10:90

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Hans Schubert (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 11:89

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Nicholas Wolverton (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 44:56

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Cavin Saravanan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

14% (1/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.18
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.12
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.54
R4	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	10%	Loss	✗	0.11	-
R6	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	45%	Win	✗	0.56	1.00
R7	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

Logan Barnes

dropped • 3-2-1

50%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

3.2

Surp

2.0

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs David Gillespie (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 44:56

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Austin Redington (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jo Burch (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Mayszen Phillips (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 65:35

75:25

R5 CC

Round 5: Draw vs Dane Dickson (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 77:23

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Adam Fronsee (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.19
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.41
R5	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	75%	Draw	✓	0.77	-
R6	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Win	✗	0.62	1.42

Joshua Stewart

dropped • 3-3-0

33%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

2.8

Surp

1.5

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jeremiah Gardner (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 45:55

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Aaron Grace (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 58:42

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Blaze Lewis (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Kaileb Shipman (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

10:90

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Adrian Gebhart (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 11:89

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Andrew Clayton (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

33% (2/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.19
R2	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.63
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.65
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	10%	Loss	✗	0.11	-
R6	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-

Peyton Elliott

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

2.3

Surp

0.7

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Steve Gilland (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Cody Mainhart (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 77:23

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Kevin Lindenmayer (Dash I/O) - Expected: 54:46

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Dominic Delmont (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Pleiades, Superstar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	75%	Win	✓	0.23	0.15
R3	CC	Dash I/O	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.54
R4	CC	Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-

Phillip Millwee

dropped • 2-3-0

40%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.8

Surp

0.7

Diff

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Nathaniel Lansangan (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 27:73

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 58:42

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Patrick Morris (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 45:55

75:25

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Domenic Wilkins (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 74:26

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs John Milner (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 41:59

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-
R2	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.31
R3	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.34
R5	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-

Tim Hickman

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.6

Diff

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Joseph Musgrove (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset

80:20

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Matt Reed (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 80:20

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Nicholas Ward (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 58:42

80:20

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Chandler To (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 80:20, favorite upset

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Brett Williamson (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	75%	Loss	✓	0.74	-
R2	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	80%	Win	✓	0.20	0.13
R3	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.47
R4	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	80%	Loss	✓	0.80	-
R5	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-

William Marshall

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

1.0

Surp

0.1

Diff

80:20

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Matt Reed (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 80:20

10:90

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Casey Walker (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 10:90

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Randall Robinson (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	80%	Win	✓	0.20	0.11
R2	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	10%	Loss	✗	0.10	-
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	75%	Loss	✓	0.74	-

Hannah Watts

dropped • 0-3-0

67%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Brian Hoffman (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Randy May (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jesse Hudak (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Lucas Mainhart

dropped • 0-3-0

33%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

1.0

Surp

0.0

Diff

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jonathan Presley (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 27:73

10:90

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jeremy Pennington (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 10:90

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Matthew Windham (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-
R2	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	10%	Loss	✗	0.10	-
R3	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.