Valda, Seismic Impact at Calling: Memphis 2026
Valda, Seismic Impact
21 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
9th • 9-3-0
83%
Meta
+2.7
Perf
5.3
Surp
4.4
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mark Morrison (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Michael Clair (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs James Gilley (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 50:50
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Patrick Weiss (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 18:82
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Dayton Blair (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Dakota Cook (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 61:39
Round 7: Win vs Zachary Lyons (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Matthew McInnis (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 61:39
70:30
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Robin Andrews (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 71:29
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Mara Faris (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 54:46
Round 12: Loss vs Emanuel Corps-Ortiz (Dash I/O) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
83% (10/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.7 Wins (6.3 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.3 total deviation
Difficulty
4.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 20% | Loss |
| R5 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 70% | Win |
| R10 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Win |
| R11 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Dash I/O | 60% | Loss |
22nd • 8-4-0
75%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
5.2
Surp
3.6
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Robin Andrews (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 71:29
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Brenden Jones (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tyler Brotton (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 5: Win vs Paul Johnson (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Joseph Pinzone (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 54:46
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Yuanji Li (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Robert Sexton (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Charlie Heavilin (Dash I/O) - Expected: 62:38
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Wesley Dong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 61:39
35:65
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs ZACHARY JENSEN (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Austin Revera (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
75% (9/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.8 Wins (6.2 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.2 total deviation
Difficulty
3.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Dash I/O | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R12 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
44th • 7-5-0
50%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
5.9
Surp
3.8
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Marcus Queen ()
Round 2: Win vs Jesse Kennon (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Michael Clair (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Sarah Marley (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 36:64
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Phillip Spader (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 41:59
Round 7: Loss vs Damien Riggins (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Zachary Lyons (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs None ()
Round 10: Win vs Cavin Saravanan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Corwin Benton (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
30:70
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Timothy Bowar (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
Meta Fit
50% (6/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (5.3 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.9 total deviation
Difficulty
3.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | 50% | Win | |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Pleiades, Superstar | 65% | Loss |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R9 | 50% | Win | |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R11 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
48th • 7-5-0
75%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
5.3
Surp
3.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Aiden Tylavsky (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 49:51
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Steve Gilland (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 67:33
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Joseph Pinzone (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Matthew Renz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 54:46
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Drew Peastrel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
90:10
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Aaron Grace (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 89:11
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Hunter Platt (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Barrett Goss (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Taylor Nifong (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 54:46
Round 11: Win vs Zachary Lyons (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Ethan Davison (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
75% (9/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (6.2 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Pleiades, Superstar | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 90% | Win |
| R8 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Loss |
| R10 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Loss |
| R11 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R12 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.6
Diff
95:5
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Scott Sharpe (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 93:7
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jonathan Presley (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 49:51
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jonathan (chugs) Moore (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Andre Francis (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 64:36
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Adam Fronsee (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 71:29
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Zach Salada (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jacob Martin (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 95% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Will Matthews (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
Round 2: Win vs Charles Castille (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Luis Cisneros (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 61:39
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Randall Robinson (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Lucas Wright (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Timothy Bowar (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
95:5
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Taylor Crawford (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 93:7
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 95% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alexander Heger (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Shane Martin (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Zachary Knutson (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Yasunari Sakuma (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Stephen Harris (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Dominic Delmont (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 50:50
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Arjun Garg (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.4
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nicholas Wolverton (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 36:64
90:10
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Joshua Vincent (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 89:11
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Phillip Millwee (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Aurelio Arcabascio (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Joseph Marchant (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 62:38
Round 6: Loss vs Emanuel Corps-Ortiz (Dash I/O) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Taylor Nifong (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 90% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.8
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Pat Eshghy (Dash I/O) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Zach Salada (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 53:47
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Maxwell Martrich (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 62:38
90:10
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Aidan Volden (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 89:11
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Joshua Briggs (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Alexander Vore (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Justin Anthony (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 90% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-1
71%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs William Spiars (Dash I/O) - Expected: 62:38
Round 2: Loss vs Yuanji Li (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Steve Gilland (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kirby Hill (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 49:51
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jeremy Pennington (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 35:65
Round 6: Win vs Franklin Brown (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Evan Dasher (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Pleiades, Superstar | 65% | Draw |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.9
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Christopher Durham (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs David Dandikar (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 54:46
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Richard Smithson (Dash I/O) - Expected: 62:38
Round 5: Win vs Travis Yeo (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Joshua Lau (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.5
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Trent Williams (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Luke Shinn (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Andrew Callahan (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 54:46
Round 4: Win vs Joseph Hoyng (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Andrew Wilborn (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Brenden Jones (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
83%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.8
Surp
0.8
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Christopher Fernandez (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 67:33
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Andrew Callahan (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 54:46
Round 3: Loss vs Matthew McInnis (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jeffrey Rybak (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Shane Martin (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Ethan Gill (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Pleiades, Superstar | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
83%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.9
Surp
0.4
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs William Bradshaw (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs James Gilley (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 50:50
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Lucas Barding (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs charles singleton (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 54:46
Round 6: Loss vs Pat Eshghy (Dash I/O) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
83%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.8
Surp
0.7
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jason Watkins (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 53:47
Round 2: Loss vs Charlie Heavilin (Dash I/O) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Matthew Bowar (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 33:67
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Dayton Blair (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ryan Wallace (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Charlie Manning (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.2
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Matthew McInnis (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Round 2: Win vs Nick Webb (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 18:82, underdog victory
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Richard Moretti (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 18:82
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Parker Lusk (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 20% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 20% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.0
Diff
90:10
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Witt Lucas (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 89:11
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 54:46
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Sam Andersen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64
Round 4: Loss vs Chase Keeton (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 90% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Alex Lindley (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Andrew Chambers (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 54:46
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ross Fontana (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Hunter Platt (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.0
Surp
0.1
Diff
90:10
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs William Snead (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 89:11
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tader Kammeyer (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jesse Kennon (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 90% | Win |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Joshua Stewart (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Parker Lusk (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Charles Castille (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
50%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
0.8
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ross Fontana (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
Meta Fit
50% (1/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (0.8 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.