
Prism, Awakener of Sol
13 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R10 | Pleiades, Superstar | 70% | Win |
| R11 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 70% | Win |
| R12 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 40% | Win |
| R13 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
| R10 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 20% | Loss |
| R11 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R12 | Dash I/O | 35% | Win |
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 20% | Win |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 20% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 80% | Win |
| R9 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 30% | Loss |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R12 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 20% | Loss |
| R5 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 80% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 35% | Draw |
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 25% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Huntsman | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Pleiades, Superstar | 70% | Loss |
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Pleiades, Superstar | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Huntsman | 65% | Loss |
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 25% | Loss |
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 70% | Loss |
| R6 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 20% | Loss |
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 20% | Loss |
| R6 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Loss |
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 20% | Loss |
| R5 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 65% | Loss |
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Pleiades, Superstar | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 20% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Loss |
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 20% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Performance Metrics
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.