Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
6 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
20th • 8-4-0
58%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
5.5
Surp
3.5
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Samuel Young (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 72:28
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Andrew Griesdorn (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 62:38
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Arjun Garg (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ross Fontana (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 72:28
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Joshua Lau (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Andrew Wilborn (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Yuki Lee Bender (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Dan Mui (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 9: Win vs Ed Bracamontes (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Justin Anthony (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Nathanael Frautschy (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (6.5 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R11 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 55% | Loss |
33rd • 8-4-0
58%
Meta
+2.0
Perf
6.1
Surp
3.9
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Jeremy Pennington (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ryan Wallace (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Devin Simms (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 42:58
Round 4: Win vs Tommy Day (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Anthony Perry (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 57:43
Round 6: Win vs Noah Beygelman (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Drew Peastrel (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 72:28
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Theodore Tan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Emery Powell (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 48:52
Round 10: Loss vs Barrett Goss (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Brian Hoffman (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Charlie Heavilin (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.0 Wins (6.0 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
6.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Pleiades, Superstar | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Loss |
| R11 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
52nd • 6-6-0
50%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
6.8
Surp
3.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ajay Bennington (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Matthew Windham (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
Round 3: Loss vs Nathaniel Lansangan (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Round 4: Win vs Jon Barmore (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Round 5: Win vs Ethan Gill (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Round 6: Win vs Alexander Heger (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Andrew Wilborn (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Justin Anthony (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Brenden Jones (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Yuki Lee Bender (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 56:44
Round 11: Loss vs Timothy Bowar (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Matthew Renz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
50% (6/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (6.0 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
6.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R11 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Loss |
| R12 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
33%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.2
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Brett Williamson (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 35:65
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alex Oltremari (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Grant Rockefeller (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 42:58
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ethan Gill (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Mayszen Phillips (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Travis Yeo (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Pleiades, Superstar | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Matthew Windham (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dan Mui (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Noah Beygelman (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Dakota Cook (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jeffrey Rybak (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.2
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Walter Snowden (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Michael Allen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 72:28
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Andrew Clayton (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 36:64
Round 4: Loss vs Stephen Harris (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 60% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.