Oscilio, Constella Intelligence at Calling: Brisbane 2026

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

11 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Nik Malev

1st • 12-2-0

93%

Meta

+4.4

Perf

6.6

Surp

6.4

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Dennis Zhang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Cooper Phipps (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 49:51

80:20

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Spencer Horton (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 78:22

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Frank Karamaroudis (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Tye Soens (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Dom Nappa (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

65:35

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Daniel Chan (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Alessandro Pena (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Rhys Hopley-Weir (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Matthew Clark (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Zachary Gardiner (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

65:35

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Kuan Li (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Dennis Zhang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

93% (13/14 favorable matchups)

Performance

+4.4 Wins (7.6 expected, 12 actual)

Surprise

6.6 total deviation

Difficulty

6.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.15
R3	CC	Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster	80%	Win	✓	0.22	0.08
R4	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.22
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.36
R6	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.52
R7	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R8	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R9	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.49
R10	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.73
R11	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.79
R12	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.87
R13	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.60
R14	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.51	1.02

Daniel Chan

33rd • 7-4-0

82%

Meta

+1.4

Perf

5.2

Surp

3.5

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs jak obrien (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jerry Kaonang (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Troy Wilson (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Sam Davison (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Max Zeelie (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs David Peng (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 49:51

70:30

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Philip Nagle (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 72:28

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Nik Malev (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs James Storey (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Daniel Madden (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Samuel Graham-Walker (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

Meta Fit

82% (9/11 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.4 Wins (5.6 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

5.2 total deviation

Difficulty

3.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.09
R2	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.17
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.27
R4	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R5	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.44
R6	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R7	CC	Puffin, Hightail	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.30
R8	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R9	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R10	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.91
R11	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	40%	Win	✗	0.60	1.32

Daniel Madden

dropped • 5-5-0

70%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

4.4

Surp

1.8

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Ed Chan (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 47:53

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Troy Wilson (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

80:20

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Raymond Ocdol (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 81:19

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Trent Verney (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Alex Crowther (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Jesse McDonald (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Madeline Southwood (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 43:57

40:60

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Samuel Graham-Walker (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 40:60

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs None ()

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Daniel Chan (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

70% (7/10 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (5.2 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.11
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	80%	Win	✓	0.19	0.09
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.32
R6	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Pleiades, Superstar	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R8	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R9	CC		50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.90
R10	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

George Ferris

dropped • 4-3-0

100%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

3.3

Surp

1.8

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs bill huynh (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Alister Ling (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Scott Mackenzie (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Andrew Qi (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Casey Wilson (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Alex Crowther (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Zachary Cauchi (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.13
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.44
R4	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.55
R7	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

benji muehlebach

dropped • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

3.2

Surp

2.1

Diff

80:20

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Raymond Ocdol (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 81:19

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Marko Zutic (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Maxim Zervos (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Anthony O’Hara (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Emma Hollingsworth (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 45:55

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Samuel Graham-Walker (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Phawat Chuenchai (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	80%	Win	✓	0.19	0.04
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R4	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.83
R6	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R7	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.97

Casey Wilson

dropped • 3-4-0

86%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

3.4

Surp

1.5

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Samuel Coffey (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 43:57

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Willem Van Den Broek (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jason Ly (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

80:20

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Rhyan Wellwood (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 78:22

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs George Ferris (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Jordan Finch (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Patrick Watt (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R2	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	75%	Loss	✓	0.73	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	CC	Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster	80%	Win	✓	0.22	0.20
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.88
R7	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Jacob Hyde

dropped • 3-4-0

71%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

3.5

Surp

0.9

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Armin Eminovic (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jy Jenkins (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Patrick Watt (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Matthew Clark (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Luis Henriques (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 49:51

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Madeline Southwood (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Tye Soens (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.19
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.45
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R6	CC	Pleiades, Superstar	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R7	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Kristopher Ryan-Clout

dropped • 3-4-0

71%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

3.2

Surp

1.0

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Zack Jarmyn (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Samuel Gubbins (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 59:41

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Emma Hollingsworth (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Cooper Phipps (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 49:51

80:20

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Evan Bicknell (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 82:18

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Rhys Hopley-Weir (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51

70:30

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Andrea Dentale (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R2	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.22
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.58
R5	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	80%	Win	✓	0.18	0.20
R6	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R7	CC	Puffin, Hightail	70%	Loss	✓	0.72	-

Troy Wilson

dropped • 3-4-0

86%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.3

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Mark Phillips (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Daniel Madden (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Chan (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Kurtis phelps (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 59:41

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Andrew Marr (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Jonas Ryen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Ryan Hill (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.13
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R5	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R6	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

Alexander Van Daalen

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.3

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Ben Trubshaw (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Nick McGrath (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Max Zeelie (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 51:49

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Xiu Meng Yip (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.30
R2	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-

James Wilson

dropped • 0-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.8

Perf

1.8

Surp

0.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Fanning (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Andrea Dentale (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Thomas Bailey Galbraith (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 59:41

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Puffin, Hightail	70%	Loss	✓	0.72	-
R3	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.