Kassai of the Golden Sand at Calling: Brisbane 2026

Kassai of the Golden Sand

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Jake mccormack

dropped • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

3.7

Surp

1.8

Diff

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Matthew Ta (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Phawat Chuenchai (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 50:50

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Luis Henriques (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 56:44

70:30

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Kuan Li (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Matthew Miotto (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Lee Mackley (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Alessandro Pena (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	30%	Win	✗	0.71	0.25
R2	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.36
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	70%	Loss	✓	0.68	-
R5	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R6	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Jacob Eid

dropped • 2-5-0

57%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

3.1

Surp

1.4

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Evan Bicknell (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Nicholas Tattersall (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Thomas Caserta (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 56:44

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Claire Grant (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs jak obrien (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 50:50

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Jonathan Crane (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 57:43

30:70

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Harry Boulton (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 29:71

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R4	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R5	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.68
R7	CC	Arakni, Marionette	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-

Raymond Ocdol

dropped • 1-3-0

25%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.6

Diff

20:80

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs benji muehlebach (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 19:81

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Charlie Thompson (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

20:80

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Madden (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 19:81

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Faron Swingler (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	20%	Loss	✗	0.19	-
R2	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.63
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	20%	Loss	✗	0.19	-
R4	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.