Calling: Brisbane 2026 - Kassai of the Golden Sand (CC)

Kassai of the Golden Sand

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Jake mccormack

dropped • 4-3-0

57%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

3.8

Surp

1.8

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Matthew Ta (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Phawat Chuenchai (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 45:55

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Luis Henriques (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 64:36

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Kuan Li (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Matthew Miotto (Dash I/O) - Expected: 55:45

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Lee Mackley (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 45:55

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Alessandro Pena (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Win	✗	0.67	0.23
R2	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.33
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.27
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R5	CC	Dash I/O	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R6	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.98
R7	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

Jacob Eid

dropped • 2-5-0

43%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

3.4

Surp

1.5

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Evan Bicknell (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 44:56

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Nicholas Tattersall (Dash I/O) - Expected: 55:45

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Thomas Caserta (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Claire Grant (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 43:57

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs jak obrien (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 45:55

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Jonathan Crane (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42

35:65

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Harry Boulton (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 33:67

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R2	CC	Dash I/O	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R4	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R5	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.81
R6	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.68
R7	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-

Raymond Ocdol

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.4

Diff

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs benji muehlebach (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 29:71

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Charlie Thompson (Dash I/O) - Expected: 55:45

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Madden (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 29:71

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Faron Swingler (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R2	CC	Dash I/O	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.43
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R4	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.