Arakni, Marionette
19 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 8-4-0
50%
Meta
+2.0
Perf
5.7
Surp
3.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Sarah Nicholas (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alexander Dobler (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 61:39
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alister Ling (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jacob Hyde (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Sam Sutherland (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Taufik Indrakesuma (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Kuan Li (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Dr. Daniel McKay (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Zachary Gardiner (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Dennis Zhang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Nik Malev (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Dr. Daniel McKay (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
50% (6/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.0 Wins (6.0 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.7 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
12th • 8-3-0
55%
Meta
+2.4
Perf
5.4
Surp
3.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Hamish Dickson (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Daniil Matveyev (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Oliver Davy (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Valentine Nguyen (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Declan Bradley (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Dr. Daniel McKay (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Gary Manttan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Anthony O’Hara (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs David Peng (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 62:38
Round 10: Loss vs Madeline Southwood (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs James Storey (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
55% (6/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.4 Wins (5.6 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Pleiades, Superstar | 60% | Loss |
| R11 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
31st • 7-4-0
91%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
4.9
Surp
2.8
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Riley Hughes (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ryan Williams (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jonas Ryen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Evan Bicknell (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 73:27
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Oliver Hill (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Samuel Coffey (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 54:46
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Greg Mansfield (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 62:38
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Emil Tan (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 62:38
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Lachlan Buchan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs James Storey (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Matthew Ta (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
91% (10/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (6.1 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Puffin, Hightail | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R11 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
41st • 6-5-0
82%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
5.2
Surp
2.4
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Jake mccormack (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Josh Rosin (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 57:43
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ian Zhong (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Joon Chien Tan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Robert Piper (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Andrew Qi (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 62:38
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs David Marshall (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Lachlan Buchan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Anthony O’Hara (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
R10
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs None ()
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Joshua Baines (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
82% (9/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (5.9 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
5.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | 50% | Win | |
| R11 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.9
Surp
2.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kuan Li (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Andrew Tyshing (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 58:42
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Liam Bennett (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Rhys Hopley-Weir (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Samuel Tulloch (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs James Drummond (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 74:26
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Kurtis phelps (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 75% | Win |
| R7 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.6
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Daniel Rusling (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Sam Davison (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Henry De Malmanche (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Vincent Lam (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Phawat Chuenchai (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Tye Soens (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Rhys Hopley-Weir (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Sam Sutherland (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Samuel Tulloch (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Willem Van Den Broek (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 65:35
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tristan Sampson (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ken Russell (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 6: Loss vs Henry Van Den Broek (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jacob Eid (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 67:33
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ben Clarke (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kuan Li (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Keegan Walls (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Andrea Dentale (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 59:41
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Matthew Chong (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Joon Chien Tan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Willem Van Den Broek (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 65:35
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Samuel Smith (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Zachary Cauchi (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Faron Swingler (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Matthew Ta (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Matthew Taylor (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Isaac Katsakis (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Patrik Ikhardt (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Joon Chien Tan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Sam Sutherland (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tom Nguyen (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Roger Dorko (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Nick McGrath (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Zac Whyte (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Alex Crowther (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs James Wilson (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Rhyan Wellwood (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 68:32
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Valentine Nguyen (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Thomas Mifsud (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs James Storey (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Alister Ling (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.4
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Daniil Matveyev (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Thomas Bailey Galbraith (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 58:42
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Rhyan Wellwood (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 68:32
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Lachlan Buchan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Harry Boulton (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 6: Loss vs Emil Tan (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jonas Ryen (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Daniel Schmith (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Daniel Rusling (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alister Ling (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 53:47
Round 5: Loss vs David Peng (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Andy Pham (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
83%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.9
Surp
0.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Levi Gott (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dom Nappa (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Joshua Baines (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Samuel Thomson (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jess Arnesen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Troy Wilson (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
83%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.9
Surp
0.6
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Claire Grant (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jacob Hyde (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Oliver Hill (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ed Chan (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 61:39
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Rhys McMillan (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Phawat Chuenchai (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
67%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
3.1
Surp
0.9
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Ruairidh Wasson (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Brodie Whyte (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 73:27
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tristan Sampson (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ben Clarke (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Frank Karamaroudis (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Andrew Tyshing (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Eric Hu (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Arthur Kindl (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 68:32
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Gavin Wu (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Daniel Madden (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Roger Dorko (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
50%
Meta
-1.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Henry De Malmanche (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Casey Wilson (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Charlie Thompson (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Lachlan Buchan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs David Smith (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Schmith (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.