Calling: Brisbane 2026 - Prism, Awakener of Sol (CC)

Prism, Awakener of Sol

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Liam Bennett

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

2.6

Surp

0.6

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Roger Dorko (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Patrick Sharpe (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 71:29

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Cody Gebert (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 62:38

75:25

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Tom Nguyen (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset

80:20

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 78:22, favorite upset

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R2	CC	Pleiades, Superstar	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.19
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.41
R4	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	75%	Loss	✓	0.75	-
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	80%	Loss	✓	0.78	-

German Glukhov

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.5

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Zac Whyte (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Vincent Lam (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs jak obrien (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 62:38

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Toby Wilson (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	65%	Loss	✓	0.65	-
R2	CC	Dash I/O	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	65%	Win	✓	0.38	0.51
R4	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

Zack Jarmyn

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.2

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Kristopher Ryan-Clout (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Dr. Daniel McKay (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

20:80

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Owen Young (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 19:81

70:30

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Ian Zhong (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.19
R2	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	65%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	20%	Loss	✗	0.19	-
R4	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	70%	Loss	✓	0.72	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.