Katsu, the Wanderer
7 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
32nd • 7-4-0
45%
Meta
+2.2
Perf
5.7
Surp
4.5
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Andrew Anderson (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 54:46
Round 2: Win vs Henry De Malmanche (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Samuel Smith (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
Round 4: Win vs Liam Bennett (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kurtis phelps (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Luis Henriques (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 54:46
20:80
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Zachary Gardiner (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 18:82
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Frank Karamaroudis (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Greg Mansfield (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Oliver Hill (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 50:50
Round 11: Win vs Jonathan Asquith (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
Meta Fit
45% (5/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.7 total deviation
Difficulty
4.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 25% | Win |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
| R8 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Loss |
| R9 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Win |
36th • 6-5-0
64%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
4.6
Surp
2.5
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jesse McDonald (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 33:67
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jess Arnesen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
Round 3: Win vs Jerry Kaonang (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Sarah Nicholas (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 56:44
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Gary Manttan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 18:82
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs benji muehlebach (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Alister Ling (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Daniel Madden (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
Round 9: Loss vs Matthew Miotto (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
20:80
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Benjamin Ryan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 18:82
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Daniel Chan (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
64% (7/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (5.1 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Dash I/O | 65% | Loss |
| R10 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
| R11 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.8
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tom Dagan (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Daniel McKeating (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mitchell Burton (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jacob Clements (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Andrew Qi (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Freeman Monika (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Amelia Hulin-Bobart (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.4
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jacob Hyde (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs James Drummond (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 72:28
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nicholas Tattersall (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Madeline Southwood (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 50:50
Round 5: Win vs Tom Dagan (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Oliver Hill (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 50:50
20:80
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Thomas Mifsud (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 18:82
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Pleiades, Superstar | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.1
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Benjamin Ryan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 18:82
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Arron Boyles (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Justin Cu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Greg Mansfield (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 47:53
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Leroy Martin-McEwen (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.6
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Piper Allen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Patrick Watt (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 43:57
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Alexander Dobler (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Henry Yang (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Alessandro Pena (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Faron Swingler (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 56:44
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kurtis phelps (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 59:41
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Connor Knight (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 33:67
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Henry Van Den Broek (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.