Katsu, the Wanderer at Calling: Brisbane 2026
Katsu, the Wanderer
7 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
32nd • 7-4-0
64%
Meta
+2.0
Perf
5.3
Surp
3.6
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Andrew Anderson (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 60:40
Round 2: Win vs Henry De Malmanche (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Samuel Smith (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
Round 4: Win vs Liam Bennett (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kurtis phelps (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Luis Henriques (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 60:40
25:75
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Zachary Gardiner (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 24:76
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Frank Karamaroudis (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Greg Mansfield (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R10
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Oliver Hill (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R11
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Jonathan Asquith (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Meta Fit
64% (7/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.0 Wins (5.0 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 25% | Loss |
| R8 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
36th • 6-5-0
64%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
4.8
Surp
2.3
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jesse McDonald (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 35:65
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jess Arnesen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
Round 3: Win vs Jerry Kaonang (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Sarah Nicholas (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Gary Manttan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 24:76
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs benji muehlebach (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Alister Ling (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Daniel Madden (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
Round 9: Loss vs Matthew Miotto (Dash I/O) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset
25:75
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Benjamin Ryan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 24:76
Round 11: Loss vs Daniel Chan (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Meta Fit
64% (7/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (5.6 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Dash I/O | 75% | Loss |
| R10 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 25% | Loss |
| R11 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.6
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tom Dagan (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 33:67
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Daniel McKeating (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mitchell Burton (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jacob Clements (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 60:40
Round 5: Loss vs Andrew Qi (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Round 6: Loss vs Freeman Monika (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
75:25
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Amelia Hulin-Bobart (Dash I/O) - Expected: 75:25
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 75% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.6
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Jacob Hyde (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs James Drummond (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nicholas Tattersall (Dash I/O) - Expected: 75:25
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Madeline Southwood (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Round 5: Win vs Tom Dagan (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Oliver Hill (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
25:75
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Thomas Mifsud (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 24:76
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Pleiades, Superstar | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.0
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Benjamin Ryan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 24:76
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Arron Boyles (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Justin Cu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 60:40
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Greg Mansfield (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Leroy Martin-McEwen (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.4
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Piper Allen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Patrick Watt (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 36:64
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Alexander Dobler (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Henry Yang (Dash I/O) - Expected: 75:25
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Alessandro Pena (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Faron Swingler (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kurtis phelps (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Connor Knight (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 35:65
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Henry Van Den Broek (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.