Dorinthea Ironsong
8 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
14th • 8-3-0
45%
Meta
+3.2
Perf
5.0
Surp
4.1
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Samuel Tulloch (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Steven Young (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 38:62
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Andrew Zielinski (Dash I/O) - Expected: 55:45
Round 4: Win vs Shaun Leow (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 13:87, underdog victory
Round 5: Win vs Levi Gott (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Daniel Chan (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
15:85
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Dennis Zhang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 13:87
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Maxim Zervos (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 53:47
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs David Huang (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 38:62
85:15
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 83:17
65:35
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Frank Karamaroudis (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 66:34
Meta Fit
45% (5/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.0 total deviation
Difficulty
4.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 25% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 15% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 15% | Loss |
| R8 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 85% | Win |
| R11 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Win |
39th • 6-5-0
64%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
5.0
Surp
2.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Patrick Watt (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 48:52
Round 2: Win vs Riley Hughes (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Henry Yang (Dash I/O) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs George Ferris (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Joel Gibbons (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Matthew Ta (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 38:62
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Sarah Nicholas (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 64:36
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Matthew Miotto (Dash I/O) - Expected: 55:45
85:15
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Freeman Monika (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 83:17
30:70
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Samuel Coffey (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 31:69
Round 11: Loss vs Taufik Indrakesuma (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
Meta Fit
64% (7/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (5.8 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
5.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 85% | Win |
| R10 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
| R11 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Loss |
46th • 5-6-0
64%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
5.3
Surp
2.1
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Henry Yang (Dash I/O) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Matthew Horne (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jake mccormack (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 36:64
Round 4: Win vs Keegan Walls (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jacob Hyde (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Tom Nguyen (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 46:54
25:75
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Nick McGrath (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 25:75
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Dom Nappa (Dash I/O) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Sam Davison (Dash I/O) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Tristan Sampson (Dash I/O) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Maxim Zervos (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
64% (7/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (5.1 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
5.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 25% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Huntsman | 25% | Loss |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
| R9 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R10 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
| R11 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.8
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alessandro Pena (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 66:34
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jaden De-Arth (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 38:62
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Andrea Dentale (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 54:46
15:85
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Dennis Zhang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 13:87
15:85
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Scott Mackenzie (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 13:87
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Casey Wilson (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
80:20
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs James Drummond (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 79:21
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 15% | Loss |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 15% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 80% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.6
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Maxim Zervos (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 53:47
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Lee Mackley (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 25:75
Round 3: Win vs Jacob Eid (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Andrew Zielinski (Dash I/O) - Expected: 55:45
15:85
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Thomas Mifsud (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 13:87
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 15% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.3
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Samuel Thomson (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Luis Henriques (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Daniil Matveyev (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jerry Kaonang (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Willem Van Den Broek (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
0%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.3
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Sean Dryland (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Valentine Nguyen (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 25:75
15:85
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Thomas Mifsud (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 13:87
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Phawat Chuenchai (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 25:75
Meta Fit
0% (0/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 15% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
50%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tom Nguyen (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Andrew Zielinski (Dash I/O) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
50% (1/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.