FaB-Results
Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn

Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Maxim Zervos
44th • 6-5-0
27%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
5.1
Surp
3.0
Diff
Dorinthea Ironsong
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Thomas Caserta (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 47:53
Kayo, Underhanded Cheat
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jesse Mann (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 80:20
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs benji muehlebach (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 43:57
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jesse McDonald (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 55:45
Arakni, Huntsman
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Dr. Daniel McKay (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 43:57
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Robert Piper (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
Dash I/O
!
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Louis Shum (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Dorinthea Ironsong
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs David Peng (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 47:53
Jarl Vetreiði
30:70
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Samuel Coffey (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 32:68
Dash I/O
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Sam Davison (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60
Dorinthea Ironsong
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Luis Henriques (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 47:53
Toby Wilson
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.5
Diff
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ryan Williams (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
Arakni, Huntsman
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs David House (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 43:57
Dash I/O
!
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jackson Bulat (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Prism, Awakener of Sol
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs German Glukhov (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 47:53
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Owen Young (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 55:45
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Michael Feng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 59:41
Dash I/O
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Tristan Sampson (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.