FaB-Results

Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn at Calling: Brisbane 2026

Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn

Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Maxim Zervos
44th • 6-5-0
64%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
5.4
Surp
3.1
Diff
Dorinthea Ironsong
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Thomas Caserta (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Kayo, Underhanded Cheat
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jesse Mann (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs benji muehlebach (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jesse McDonald (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50
Arakni, Huntsman
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Dr. Daniel McKay (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Robert Piper (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
Dash I/O
!
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Louis Shum (Dash I/O) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Dorinthea Ironsong
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs David Peng (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Jarl Vetreiði
35:65
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Samuel Coffey (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 33:67
Dash I/O
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Sam Davison (Dash I/O) - Expected: 35:65
Dorinthea Ironsong
R11
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Luis Henriques (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Toby Wilson
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.6
Diff
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ryan Williams (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
Arakni, Huntsman
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs David House (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Dash I/O
!
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jackson Bulat (Dash I/O) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Prism, Awakener of Sol
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs German Glukhov (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 42:58
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Owen Young (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Michael Feng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36
Dash I/O
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Tristan Sampson (Dash I/O) - Expected: 35:65

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.