Kayo, Underhanded Cheat at Calling: Brisbane 2026
Kayo, Underhanded Cheat
5 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
27th • 7-4-0
45%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
5.0
Surp
4.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs David House (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 54:46
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Philip Nagle (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 30:70
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Michael Feng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Vincent Lim (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 50:50
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Connor Knight (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 68:32
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Ken Russell (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Zac Whyte (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Joshua Baines (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Dom Nappa (Dash I/O) - Expected: 61:39
Round 10: Win vs Declan Bradley (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Jaden De-Arth (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
45% (5/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.8 Wins (5.2 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.0 total deviation
Difficulty
4.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Pleiades, Superstar | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Dash I/O | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 35% | Win |
| R11 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
35th • 7-4-0
55%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
5.0
Surp
3.9
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Shaun Leow (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jackson Bulat (Dash I/O) - Expected: 61:39
Round 3: Win vs Tom Debney (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs David Smith (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Louis Shum (Dash I/O) - Expected: 61:39
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 39:61
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Joshua Baines (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Valentine Nguyen (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 54:46
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Tom Nguyen (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Dom Nappa (Dash I/O) - Expected: 61:39
Round 11: Win vs Freeman Monika (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Meta Fit
55% (6/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (5.3 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Arakni, Huntsman | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Dash I/O | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-1
57%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Michael Glover (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Daniel Johnson : ) (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs James Storey (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Rhys King (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Andrea Dentale (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 30:70
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Harry Boulton (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Draw vs Lee Mackley (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Puffin, Hightail | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Huntsman | 55% | Draw |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.1
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Zachary Cauchi (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 68:32
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Maxim Zervos (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Freeman Monika (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 39:61
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Alessandro Pena (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.0
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Oliver Hill (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 30:70
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Sarah Nicholas (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Cooper Phipps (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.