Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
11 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
26th • 7-4-0
64%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
5.0
Surp
3.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Willem Van Den Broek (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Thomas Boorman (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Henry Van Den Broek (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 64:36
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Michael Feng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 72:28
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Daniel Fanning (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Anthony O’Hara (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jess Arnesen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Oliver Hill (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Daniel Chan (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Joshua Baines (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs David Huang (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
64% (7/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (5.9 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Loss |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Frank Karamaroudis (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs George Ferris (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Matthew Clark (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Levi Gott (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Steven Young (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Daniel Fanning (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Samuel Graham-Walker (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.8
Surp
1.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nicholas Tattersall (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Connor Knight (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Simon Cox (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Sam Sutherland (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
Round 5: Loss vs Valentine Nguyen (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Round 6: Loss vs Lachlan Buchan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Joon Chien Tan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.3
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Daniel McKeating (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 56:44
Round 2: Loss vs Damian Moss (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ryan Hamlet (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Robert Piper (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Henry De Malmanche (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Vincent Lim (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Troy Wilson (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Pleiades, Superstar | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.8
Surp
2.1
Diff
Round 1: Win vs German Glukhov (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Round 2: Win vs Gary Manttan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Louis Shum (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Thomas Boorman (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Faron Swingler (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 60:40
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Samuel Smith (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
Round 7: Loss vs Emil Tan (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
14%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ken Russell (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs David Huang (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Matthew Horne (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Leroy Martin-McEwen (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 46:54
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jonathan Asquith (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Zachary Cauchi (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Ian Zhong (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
14% (1/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.4
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Scott Mackenzie (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61
Round 2: Win vs Rhys Hopley-Weir (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Xiu Meng Yip (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ryan Hill (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Matthew Ta (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Maxim Zervos (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Shaun Leow (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.0
Diff
85:15
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Brodie Whyte (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 87:13
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs James Storey (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jonathan Asquith (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Zac Whyte (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Sam Davison (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jaden De-Arth (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 85% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Dom Nappa (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs jak obrien (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ryan Hill (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Daniel Schmith (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 62:38
Round 5: Loss vs Keegan Walls (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Toby Wilson (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Joshua Baines (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Declan Bradley (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tye Soens (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ian Zhong (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.5
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Keegan Walls (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nik Malev (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 56:44
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Geoff Wong (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 64:36
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kristopher Ryan-Clout (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.