Pleiades, Superstar at Calling: Brisbane 2026

Pleiades, Superstar

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Madeline Southwood

5th • 9-2-1

83%

Meta

+2.6

Perf

5.3

Surp

4.5

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Gus Drummond (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

20:80

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Matthew Taylor (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 18:82

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jackson CASANOVA (Dash I/O) - Expected: 74:26

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Armin Eminovic (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

65:35

R5 CC

Round 5: Draw vs Patrick Watt (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 67:33

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Jacob Hyde (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Daniel Madden (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

75:25

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Tristan Sampson (Dash I/O) - Expected: 74:26

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs David Huang (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50

40:60

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Dr. Daniel McKay (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Kuan Li (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

83% (10/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.6 Wins (6.4 expected, 9 actual)

Surprise

5.3 total deviation

Difficulty

4.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Puffin, Hightail	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.08
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	20%	Loss	✗	0.18	-
R3	CC	Dash I/O	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.11
R4	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R5	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	65%	Draw	✓	0.67	-
R6	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.41
R7	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.48
R8	CC	Dash I/O	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.29
R9	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R10	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R11	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	40%	Win	✗	0.60	1.21
R12	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Vincent Lim

dropped • 3-4-0

86%

Meta

-0.6

Perf

3.1

Surp

1.8

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Kurtis phelps (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Michael Feng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Josh Rosin (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 67:33

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Emil Tan (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 50:50

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Marko Zutic (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 56:44

35:65

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Ryan Hill (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Andrew Tyshing (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.25
R4	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.59
R6	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R7	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Patrick Sharpe

dropped • 1-3-0

50%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.4

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Damian Moss (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 40:60

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Liam Bennett (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 31:69

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Samuel Gubbins (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

75:25

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Ben Trubshaw (Dash I/O) - Expected: 74:26

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R3	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Dash I/O	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.44

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.