Arakni, Huntsman
16 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
3rd • 10-3-0
62%
Meta
+3.7
Perf
6.2
Surp
4.3
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Rhys Hopley-Weir (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Round 2: Win vs Zack Jarmyn (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Andrew Marr (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Taine Markley (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Maxim Zervos (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs David Huang (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jesse McDonald (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Matthew Clark (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
30:70
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Kuan Li (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
Round 10: Win vs Zachary Gardiner (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Round 11: Loss vs Madeline Southwood (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Matthew Clark (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Dennis Zhang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
62% (8/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.7 Wins (6.3 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
6.2 total deviation
Difficulty
4.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R10 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R11 | Pleiades, Superstar | 60% | Loss |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R13 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
11th • 8-3-0
64%
Meta
+1.9
Perf
4.6
Surp
3.7
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Matthew Chong (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 68:32
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Oliver Hill (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 70:30
Round 3: Loss vs Dom Nappa (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Simon Cox (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 68:32
Round 5: Win vs Freeman Monika (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Matthew Miotto (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Matthew Ta (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Gary Manttan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
80:20
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Jaden De-Arth (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 80:20
30:70
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Justin Cu (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
Round 11: Win vs Rhys Hopley-Weir (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Meta Fit
64% (7/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.9 Wins (6.1 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
4.6 total deviation
Difficulty
3.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 80% | Win |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R11 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
43rd • 6-5-0
64%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
4.5
Surp
1.7
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Andrew Tyshing (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 40:60
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alexander Van Daalen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Matthew Miotto (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Taufik Indrakesuma (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 40:60
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Samuel Smith (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Dennis Zhang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
75:25
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Luis Henriques (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 75:25
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Zachary Cauchi (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Jonathan Asquith (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
30:70
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Freeman Monika (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
65:35
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Dom Nappa (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34
Meta Fit
64% (7/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (5.7 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 75% | Win |
| R8 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R11 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
dropped • 4-4-0
75%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.8
Surp
1.4
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Vincent Lam (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ruairidh Wasson (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 75:25
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Daniel Fanning (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs David Huang (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
Round 5: Win vs Patrik Ikhardt (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Round 6: Loss vs Sam Sutherland (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jonathan Asquith (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Greg Mansfield (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-2-1
86%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.1
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jackson Bulat (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Tom Dagan (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 51:49
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alexander Van Daalen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Steven Young (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 80:20
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Daniel Chan (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Andrea Dentale (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 70:30
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Lachlan Buchan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Draw |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 80% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Puffin, Hightail | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jerry Kaonang (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 51:49
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Piper Allen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 80:20
Round 3: Win vs Aaron Woo (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Freeman Monika (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
80:20
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs James Drummond (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 78:22
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Levi Gott (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Frank Karamaroudis (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 80% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 80% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.1
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Patrick Sharpe (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 62:38
Round 2: Win vs Ryan Hill (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Round 3: Win vs Matthew Taylor (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Declan Bradley (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 40:60
Round 5: Loss vs Tristan Sampson (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Keegan Walls (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Pleiades, Superstar | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.9
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Daniel Johnson : ) (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Round 2: Win vs Aaron Woo (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs David Huang (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Henry De Malmanche (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Dennis Zhang (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Leroy Martin-McEwen (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Freeman Monika (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-1
43%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.4
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ian Zhong (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 40:60
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Thomas Caserta (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 75:25
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Shaun Leow (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Christopher Rosiak (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Mitchell Burton (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 40:60
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jake mccormack (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Draw vs Henry Van Den Broek (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 40% | Draw |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
4.1
Surp
1.6
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Cooper Phipps (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Andrew Marr (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Isaac Katsakis (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
Round 4: Loss vs Luis Henriques (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset
Round 5: Win vs Ryan Hamlet (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Round 6: Loss vs Louis Shum (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Damian Moss (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 75% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.0
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Andrea Dentale (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 70:30
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jake mccormack (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Frank Karamaroudis (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 40:60
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ruairidh Wasson (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 75:25
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ryan McIntyre (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jy Jenkins (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs benji muehlebach (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-6-0
57%
Meta
-2.1
Perf
3.1
Surp
0.9
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Chan (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ryan Hamlet (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs German Glukhov (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs James Phillips (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jacob Eid (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 55:45
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs None ()
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jonathan Crane (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | 50% | Win | |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Andrew Marr (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
Round 2: Win vs Hamish Dickson (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Trent Verney (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs David House (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Tom Debney (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
80%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
2.8
Surp
0.6
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs David Peng (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Harry Boulton (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ken Hickey (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Hamish Dickson (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Cody Gebert (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 75% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.7
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Isaac Katsakis (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Rusling (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 80:20, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jonathan Crane (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Sean Dryland (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 80% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.4
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Emil Tan (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Toby Wilson (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 57:43
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Lachlan Buchan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Gavin Wu (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.